PMID- 10128376 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 19931020 LR - 20190513 IS - 0268-1080 (Print) IS - 0268-1080 (Linking) VI - 8 IP - 3 DP - 1993 Sep TI - Lot quality assurance sampling for monitoring immunization programmes: cost-efficient or quick and dirty? PG - 217-23 AB - In recent years Lot quality assurance sampling (LQAS), a method derived from production-line industry, has been advocated as an efficient means to evaluate the coverage rates achieved by child immunization programmes. This paper examines the assumptions on which LQAS is based and the effect that these assumptions have on its utility as a management tool. It shows that the attractively low sample sizes used in LQAS are achieved at the expense of specificity unless unrealistic assumptions are made about the distribution of coverage rates amongst the immunization programmes to which the method is applied. Although it is a very sensitive test and its negative predictive value is probably high in most settings, its specificity and positive predictive value are likely to be low. The implications of these strengths and weaknesses with regard to management decision-making are discussed. FAU - Sandiford, P AU - Sandiford P AD - International Health Division, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, UK. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - England TA - Health Policy Plan JT - Health policy and planning JID - 8610614 MH - Child MH - Child Health Services/*standards/statistics & numerical data MH - Cost-Benefit Analysis MH - Data Collection MH - Decision Making, Organizational MH - England MH - Humans MH - Immunization/*standards/statistics & numerical data MH - Infant MH - Measles/immunology MH - Models, Statistical MH - Program Evaluation/*methods MH - Quality Assurance, Health Care/*methods MH - Sampling Studies OID - PIP: 090182 OID - POP: 00226673 OAB - The production line industry uses lot quality assurance sampling (LQAS) to categorize the quality of batches of a product as either permissible or unsatisfactory based on the proportion of defective units in each found by inspecting a sample of units. LQAS may be a method to assess coverage rates achieved by child immunization. The proportion of appropriately-aged children an immunization program is responsible for would be the batches. Defective units would include children not fully immunized and beyond the age of immunization. An international health specialist uses UNICEF country estimates for measles vaccination (1991), assuming good performance to be 80% coverage (i.e.g, 20% defectives) and poor performance to be 50% coverage, to demonstrate the strengths and limitations of the LQAS method. This exercise reveals that this test is very good at detecting poor performance. Its sensitivity is almost 99%, and its community risk is less than 2%. Its negative predictive value tends to be high in most settings. The LQAS test also does a good job at making sure that programs which do well are not rejected. On the other hand, the LQAS method is not very specific, and its positive predictive value tends to be low in most settings. For example, it rejected 25-30% (false positive rate) of countries with coverage rates above 50%. Thus, the LQAS method is not necessarily good at predicting when a program is doing a good job. These findings illustrate the importance of program managers and planners recognizing the strengths and weaknesses of LQAS before using it to evaluate their immunization program. OABL- eng OTO - PIP OT - Behavior OT - *Decision Making OT - Delivery Of Health Care OT - *Developed Countries OT - *Developing Countries OT - Diseases OT - Error Sources OT - Evaluation OT - *Evaluation Methodology OT - *False Positive Reactions OT - Health OT - Health Services OT - *Immunization OT - *Measles OT - Measurement OT - *Methodological Studies OT - *Organization And Administration OT - Primary Health Care OT - *Quality Control OT - Research Methodology OT - *Testing OT - Viral Diseases GN - PIP: TJ: HEALTH POLICY AND PLANNING. EDAT- 1993/08/06 00:00 MHDA- 1993/08/06 00:01 CRDT- 1993/08/06 00:00 PHST- 1993/08/06 00:00 [pubmed] PHST- 1993/08/06 00:01 [medline] PHST- 1993/08/06 00:00 [entrez] AID - 10.1093/heapol/8.3.217 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Health Policy Plan. 1993 Sep;8(3):217-23. doi: 10.1093/heapol/8.3.217.