PMID- 11921321 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20020416 LR - 20191105 IS - 1057-9230 (Print) IS - 1057-9230 (Linking) VI - 11 IP - 3 DP - 2002 Apr TI - Statistical determination of cost-effectiveness frontier based on net health benefits. PG - 249-64 AB - Statistical methods are given for producing a cost-effectiveness frontier for an arbitrary number of programs. In the deterministic case, the net health benefit (NHB) decision rule is optimal; the rule funds the program with the largest positive NHB at each lambda, the amount a decision-maker is willing to pay for an additional unit of effectiveness. For bivariate normally distributed cost and effectiveness variables and a specified lambda, a statistical procedure is presented, based on the method of constrained multiple comparisons with the best (CMCB), for determining the program with the largest NHB. A one-tailed t test is used to determine if the NHB is positive. To obtain a statistical frontier in the lambda-NHB plane, we develop a method to produce the region in which each program has the largest NHB, by pivoting a CMCB confidence interval. A one-sided version of Fieller's theorem is used to determine the region where the NHB of each program is positive. At each lambda, the pointwise error rate is bounded by a prespecified alpha. Upper bounds on the familywise error rate, the probability of an error at any value of lambda, are given. The methods are applied to a hypothetical clinical trial of antipsychotic agents. CI - Copyright 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. FAU - Laska, Eugene M AU - Laska EM AD - Statistical Sciences & Epidemiology Division, The Nathan S. Kline Institute for Psychiatric Research, Orangeburg, NY 10962, USA. laska@nki.rfmh.org FAU - Meisner, Morris AU - Meisner M FAU - Siegel, Carole AU - Siegel C FAU - Wanderling, Joseph AU - Wanderling J LA - eng GR - P50 MH 51359/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S. PL - England TA - Health Econ JT - Health economics JID - 9306780 RN - 0 (Antipsychotic Agents) SB - IM MH - Algorithms MH - Antipsychotic Agents/economics/therapeutic use MH - Confidence Intervals MH - Cost-Benefit Analysis/*statistics & numerical data MH - Decision Making MH - Health Care Costs/*statistics & numerical data MH - Humans MH - *Models, Statistical MH - Program Evaluation/*economics/methods MH - Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/*statistics & numerical data MH - Schizophrenia/drug therapy/economics MH - Stochastic Processes MH - *Treatment Outcome EDAT- 2002/03/29 10:00 MHDA- 2002/04/17 10:01 CRDT- 2002/03/29 10:00 PHST- 2002/03/29 10:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2002/04/17 10:01 [medline] PHST- 2002/03/29 10:00 [entrez] AID - 10.1002/hec.659 [pii] AID - 10.1002/hec.659 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Health Econ. 2002 Apr;11(3):249-64. doi: 10.1002/hec.659.