PMID- 12383654 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20021220 LR - 20191106 IS - 0167-5877 (Print) IS - 0167-5877 (Linking) VI - 55 IP - 3 DP - 2002 Oct 15 TI - Risk factors and sources of variation in horse falls in steeplechase racing in the UK. PG - 179-92 AB - We identified risk factors associated with falling during steeplechase racing. We used retrospective data from all steeplechase runs on UK racecourses during 1999: 10,866 starts with 647 horse falls. The relationship between continuous variables and falling was assessed using generalised additive models (GAMs). Polynomial fits then were included in a multilevel, multivariable logistic-regression model. The number of runners had a linear, positive association with the risk of falling. The distance of the race had a non-linear relationship with the risk of falling; the risk steadily increased in races up to 23 furlongs (1furlong approximately equals 198 m), and then decreased in longer races. Age also had a significant, non-linear relationship with the risk of falling: a decreasing risk up to 12 years of age followed by an increasing risk in older horses. Horses that wore visors and had raced previously were associated with a decrease in the risk of falling. Intra-class correlation coefficients (ICCs) showed that although most of the variation resided at the start (level 1), a proportion of variation in the risk of falling could be attributed to horse and race. Trainer and jockey contributed very little to the variation in the risk of falling. CI - Copyright 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. FAU - Pinchbeck, G L AU - Pinchbeck GL AD - Epidemiology Group, Department of Veterinary Clinical Science and Animal Husbandry, University of Liverpool, Chester High Road, Leahurst, Neston CH64 7TE, South Wirral, UK. ginap@liv.ac.uk FAU - Clegg, P D AU - Clegg PD FAU - Proudman, C J AU - Proudman CJ FAU - Morgan, K L AU - Morgan KL FAU - Wood, J L N AU - Wood JL FAU - French, N P AU - French NP LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - Netherlands TA - Prev Vet Med JT - Preventive veterinary medicine JID - 8217463 SB - IM MH - Accidental Falls/*statistics & numerical data MH - Age Factors MH - Animals MH - Female MH - Horses/*physiology MH - Logistic Models MH - Male MH - Odds Ratio MH - Risk Factors MH - *Sports MH - United Kingdom MH - Weight-Bearing EDAT- 2002/10/18 04:00 MHDA- 2002/12/21 04:00 CRDT- 2002/10/18 04:00 PHST- 2002/10/18 04:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2002/12/21 04:00 [medline] PHST- 2002/10/18 04:00 [entrez] AID - S0167587702000983 [pii] AID - 10.1016/s0167-5877(02)00098-3 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Prev Vet Med. 2002 Oct 15;55(3):179-92. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(02)00098-3.