PMID- 12701782 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20030822 LR - 20191210 IS - 0966-8519 (Print) IS - 0966-8519 (Linking) VI - 12 IP - 2 DP - 2003 Mar TI - Prediction of paroxysmal atrial fibrillation after aortic valve replacement in patients with aortic stenosis: identification of potential risk factors. PG - 136-41 AB - BACKGROUND AND AIM OF THE STUDY: Paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent complication after cardiac surgery. The study aim was to identify preoperative predictors of risk for this condition in patients with aortic stenosis after aortic valve replacement. METHODS: The influence of clinical, echocardiographic and 24 h electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters on episodes of paroxysmal AF after aortic valve replacement (AVR) in 423 patients (156 women, 267 men; mean age 58 +/- 10 years) with aortic stenosis was analyzed. Episodes of postoperative paroxysmal AF were noted in 120 patients (28%). RESULTS: Univariate analyses identified the following variables as risk factors for arrhythmia: age, NYHA functional class, history of preoperative paroxysmal AF, left ventricular mass index, >300 supraventricular beats on 24h ECG before surgery, presence of supraventricular tachycardia (SVT), SVT of >5 beats or with a rate >120 beats/min. Concomitant coronary artery bypass (CABG) grafting and presence of enlarged left atrium had no impact. By multivariate analysis, four variables were identified as independent predictors: age (odds ratio 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-2.1); history of paroxysmal AF (OR 3.2; CI 1.4-7.3); presence of >300 supraventricular beats/24 h (OR 1.9; CI 1.1-3.4); and presence of SVT (OR 2.1; CI 1.3-3.4). Discriminatory analysis revealed that a model comprising these four parameters enabled risk prediction in 68% of patients. CONCLUSION: In patients with isolated aortic stenosis, age, past history of paroxysmal AF episodes, >300 supraventricular beats/24 h and presence of SVT during 24 h before AVR were predictors of postoperative paroxysmal AF episodes. Left atrial diameter and simultaneous CABG during AVR did not influence the likelihood of postoperative paroxysmal AF. FAU - Orlowska-Baranowska, Ewa AU - Orlowska-Baranowska E AD - Institute of Cardiology, Warsaw, Poland. FAU - Baranowski, Rafa AU - Baranowski R FAU - Michalek, Piotr AU - Michalek P FAU - Hoffman, Piotr AU - Hoffman P FAU - Rywik, Tomasz AU - Rywik T FAU - Rawczylska-Englert, Irena AU - Rawczylska-Englert I LA - eng PT - Comparative Study PT - Evaluation Study PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - England TA - J Heart Valve Dis JT - The Journal of heart valve disease JID - 9312096 SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Age Factors MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Aortic Valve/diagnostic imaging/pathology/surgery MH - Aortic Valve Stenosis/epidemiology/*surgery MH - Atrial Fibrillation/diagnosis/epidemiology/*etiology MH - Atrial Premature Complexes/diagnosis/epidemiology/etiology MH - Coronary Artery Bypass MH - Echocardiography MH - Electrocardiography, Ambulatory MH - Female MH - Heart Atria/diagnostic imaging/pathology MH - Heart Rate/physiology MH - *Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation MH - Heart Ventricles/diagnostic imaging/physiopathology MH - Humans MH - Incidence MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Multivariate Analysis MH - Postoperative Complications/diagnosis/epidemiology/*etiology MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Prospective Studies MH - Recurrence MH - Risk Factors MH - Severity of Illness Index MH - Stroke Volume/physiology MH - Treatment Outcome EDAT- 2003/04/19 05:00 MHDA- 2003/08/23 05:00 CRDT- 2003/04/19 05:00 PHST- 2003/04/19 05:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2003/08/23 05:00 [medline] PHST- 2003/04/19 05:00 [entrez] PST - ppublish SO - J Heart Valve Dis. 2003 Mar;12(2):136-41.