PMID- 15720934 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20050609 LR - 20220331 IS - 0960-1643 (Print) IS - 0960-1643 (Linking) VI - 55 IP - 511 DP - 2005 Feb TI - Accuracy of specific IgE in the prediction of asthma: development of a scoring formula for general practice. PG - 125-31 AB - BACKGROUND: For the diagnosis of asthma in young children, GPs have to rely on history taking and physical examination, as spirometry is not possible. The additional diagnostic value of specific immunoglobulin E (IgE) to inhalent allergens remains unclear. AIM: To assess the predictive accuracy of specific IgE to cat, dog, and/or house dust mites in young children for the subsequent development of asthma at the age of 6 years. DESIGN OF STUDY: Prospective follow-up study. SETTING: Seventy-two general practices. METHOD: A total of 654 children, aged 1-4 years, visiting their GPs for persistent coughing (>/= 5 days), were tested for IgE antibodies by radio allergosorbent testing (RAST). Parents completed a questionnaire on potential risk indicators. Those children who showed an IgE-positive status (12.7%) and a random sample of those with an IgE-negative status (<0.5 U/ml) were followed up to the age of 6 years when the asthma status was established. The main outcome measure was asthma at the age of 6 years (combination of both symptoms and/or use of asthma medication, and impaired lung function). RESULTS: Addition of RAST results to a prediction model based on age, wheeze, and family history of pollen allergy increased the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve from 0.76 to 0.87. Furthermore, RAST improved patient differentiation as indicated by a change in the range of asthma probabilities from 6-75% before the IgE test, to 1-95% after the IgE-test. CONCLUSION: Sensitisation to inhalant allergens in 1-4-year-olds, as shown by RAST, is a useful diagnostic indicator for the presence of asthma at the age of 6 years, even after a clinical history has been obtained. This model should preferably be validated in a new population before it can be applied in practice. FAU - Eysink, Petra E D AU - Eysink PE AD - Department of General Practice, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. FAU - ter Riet, Gerben AU - ter Riet G FAU - Aalberse, Rob C AU - Aalberse RC FAU - van Aalderen, Wim M C AU - van Aalderen WM FAU - Roos, Carel M AU - Roos CM FAU - van der Zee, Jaring S AU - van der Zee JS FAU - Bindels, Patrick J E AU - Bindels PJ LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Multicenter Study PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - England TA - Br J Gen Pract JT - The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners JID - 9005323 RN - 0 (Allergens) RN - 0 (Biomarkers) RN - 0 (Dust) RN - 37341-29-0 (Immunoglobulin E) SB - IM MH - Allergens/*adverse effects MH - Animals MH - Asthma/diagnosis/*immunology MH - Biomarkers/blood MH - Cats/immunology MH - Child, Preschool MH - Cohort Studies MH - Dogs/immunology MH - Dust/immunology MH - Family Practice MH - Humans MH - Immunoglobulin E/*blood MH - Infant MH - Male MH - Mites/immunology MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Prospective Studies PMC - PMC1463187 EDAT- 2005/02/22 09:00 MHDA- 2005/06/10 09:00 PMCR- 2006/02/01 CRDT- 2005/02/22 09:00 PHST- 2005/02/22 09:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2005/06/10 09:00 [medline] PHST- 2005/02/22 09:00 [entrez] PHST- 2006/02/01 00:00 [pmc-release] PST - ppublish SO - Br J Gen Pract. 2005 Feb;55(511):125-31.