PMID- 16200596 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20051108 LR - 20151119 IS - 0004-3591 (Print) IS - 0004-3591 (Linking) VI - 52 IP - 10 DP - 2005 Oct TI - Use of the plasma stromelysin (matrix metalloproteinase 3) concentration to predict joint space narrowing in knee osteoarthritis. PG - 3160-7 AB - OBJECTIVE: To determine whether baseline or serial plasma concentrations of stromelysin (matrix metalloproteinase 3 [MMP-3]) protein might distinguish subjects with progressive radiographic knee osteoarthritis (OA) from those with stable disease. METHODS: Subjects were 120 women with unilateral knee OA who participated in a 30-month randomized, placebo-controlled trial of structure modification with doxycycline. Anteroposterior views of both knees in a semiflexed position were obtained at baseline, 16 months, and 30 months. Subjects were selected to obtain comparisons of plasma MMP-3 levels between 60 progressors (21 taking doxycycline, 39 taking placebo) and 60 nonprogressors (30 taking doxycycline, 30 taking placebo) with respect to medial joint space narrowing (JSN) in the index knee. Each group consisted of 30 subjects who exhibited significant increases in knee pain. Blood samples were obtained semiannually for MMP-3 assay. RESULTS: Subjects in the placebo group whose MMP-3 concentration was in the upper tertile of the baseline distribution showed a 4-fold increase in the odds of progression of JSN as compared with the lower tertile (odds ratio 4.12, P = 0.037). Baseline MMP-3 levels were unrelated to knee pain. The within-subject mean of serial MMP-3 concentrations was associated with concurrent JSN in the placebo group over the 0-16-month interval (b = 0.18 mm/SD increase in the mean MMP-3, P < 0.01) and over the 16-30-month interval (b = 0.15, P < 0.05). Similar evidence of concurrent validity was found in the placebo group for the maximum of intercurrent MMP-3 values. CONCLUSION: The baseline MMP-3 level was a significant predictor of JSN in this pilot study. Moreover, serial plasma MMP-3 levels reflected concurrent JSN in the placebo group over the 30-month period of observation. FAU - Lohmander, L Stefan AU - Lohmander LS AD - Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Brandt, Kenneth D AU - Brandt KD FAU - Mazzuca, Steven A AU - Mazzuca SA FAU - Katz, Barry P AU - Katz BP FAU - Larsson, Staffan AU - Larsson S FAU - Struglics, Andre AU - Struglics A FAU - Lane, Kathleen A AU - Lane KA LA - eng GR - P60-AR-20582/AR/NIAMS NIH HHS/United States GR - R01-AR-43348/AR/NIAMS NIH HHS/United States GR - R01-AR-43370/AR/NIAMS NIH HHS/United States PT - Clinical Trial PT - Journal Article PT - Randomized Controlled Trial PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PT - Research Support, U.S. Gov't, P.H.S. PL - United States TA - Arthritis Rheum JT - Arthritis and rheumatism JID - 0370605 RN - 0 (Anti-Bacterial Agents) RN - 0 (Biomarkers) RN - EC 3.4.24.17 (Matrix Metalloproteinase 3) RN - N12000U13O (Doxycycline) SB - IM MH - Anti-Bacterial Agents/administration & dosage MH - Biomarkers/blood MH - Doxycycline/administration & dosage MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Knee Joint/*pathology MH - Matrix Metalloproteinase 3/*blood MH - Middle Aged MH - Osteoarthritis, Knee/*blood/drug therapy/*pathology MH - Predictive Value of Tests EDAT- 2005/10/04 09:00 MHDA- 2005/11/09 09:00 CRDT- 2005/10/04 09:00 PHST- 2005/10/04 09:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2005/11/09 09:00 [medline] PHST- 2005/10/04 09:00 [entrez] AID - 10.1002/art.21345 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Arthritis Rheum. 2005 Oct;52(10):3160-7. doi: 10.1002/art.21345.