PMID- 16635648 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20061020 LR - 20061115 IS - 0010-440X (Print) IS - 0010-440X (Linking) VI - 47 IP - 3 DP - 2006 May-Jun TI - Can structured interviews for posttraumatic stress disorder assist clinical decision-making after motor vehicle accidents? An exploratory analysis. PG - 194-200 AB - Motor vehicle accidents (MVAs) represent one of the most common causes of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) worldwide. Predicting those MVA survivors who are likely to experience PTSD in the longer-term has attracted substantial research attention, but most investigators have concluded that early traumatic stress symptoms have only moderate predictive power. The present study focuses on a decision-tree approach that might be useful to clinicians attempting to identify subgroups of MVA survivors with graduated degrees of risk. Eighty-three consecutive MVA admissions (response rate, 65%) were assessed by structured clinical interview within 2 weeks of the accident and at 18 months follow-up. Meeting full criteria for PTSD (other than the time criterion) at baseline achieved a positive predictive power of 0.92 in identifying those who had PTSD over the following 18 months. For the remainder, the PTSD "arousal" domain achieved a positive predictive power of 0.81 for predicting those with either subthreshold PTSD or full PTSD over the 18-month follow-up period. The implications for further research into a stepped approach to intervention and monitoring are discussed. FAU - Silove, Derrick AU - Silove D AD - Psychiatry Research and Teaching Unit, School of Psychiatry, University of New South Wales, and Centre for Population Mental Health Research, Sydney South West Area Health Service, New South Wales 2170, Australia. d.silove@unsw.edu.au FAU - Brooks, Robert AU - Brooks R FAU - Steel, Zachary AU - Steel Z FAU - Blaszczynski, Alex AU - Blaszczynski A FAU - Hillman, Ken AU - Hillman K FAU - Tyndall, Karen AU - Tyndall K LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - United States TA - Compr Psychiatry JT - Comprehensive psychiatry JID - 0372612 SB - IM MH - Accidents, Traffic/*psychology MH - Adolescent MH - Adult MH - *Decision Making MH - Decision Trees MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Interview, Psychological MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Risk Assessment MH - Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/*diagnosis/psychology MH - Time Factors EDAT- 2006/04/26 09:00 MHDA- 2006/10/21 09:00 CRDT- 2006/04/26 09:00 PHST- 2005/01/24 00:00 [received] PHST- 2005/05/18 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2005/08/24 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2006/04/26 09:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2006/10/21 09:00 [medline] PHST- 2006/04/26 09:00 [entrez] AID - S0010-440X(05)00103-3 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.comppsych.2005.08.004 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Compr Psychiatry. 2006 May-Jun;47(3):194-200. doi: 10.1016/j.comppsych.2005.08.004.