PMID- 19929036 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20100315 LR - 20151119 IS - 1175-3277 (Print) IS - 1175-3277 (Linking) VI - 9 IP - 6 DP - 2009 TI - The cost effectiveness and cost utility of valsartan in chronic heart failure therapy in Italy: a probabilistic markov model. PG - 383-92 LID - 10.2165/11315730-000000000-00000 [doi] AB - To evaluate the cost effectiveness and cost utility of the use of valsartan in addition to standard therapy for the treatment of patients with chronic heart failure with low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). The study was conducted by means of a cohort simulation based on a probabilistic Markov model and projecting the 23-month follow-up results of the Val-HeFT (Valsartan Heart Failure Trial) study over a 10-year time horizon. The model included four states (New York Heart Association [NYHA] classes II, III, IV, and death), and had a cycle duration of 1 month. Probabilistic simulations were performed using the WinBUGS software for Bayesian analysis. The distribution of patient parameters (sex, age, use of beta-adrenoceptor antagonists, and ACE inhibitors) in the simulated population were derived from the Italian heart failure patient population. Individual mortality data were derived from general mortality data by multiplying by a NYHA state-specific relative risk, while the probability of changing NYHA class was taken from the Val-HeFT data. Costs (2007 values) were calculated from the perspective of the Italian Health Service (IHS) and included costs for drugs and heart failure hospitalizations. Quality-of-life (QOL) weights were obtained by using published health-related QOL data for heart failure patients. A 3.5% annual discount rate was applied. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed on each parameter using original-source 95% confidence interval (CI) values, or a +/-10% range when 95% CI values were unavailable. For the 10-year time horizon, patients were estimated to live for an average of 2.3 years or 1.7 quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), with slight increases in the valsartan group. In this group, hospitalizations for worsening heart failure were predicted to be significantly reduced and overall treatment costs per patient to decrease by about and U20AC;550. In subgroup analyses, valsartan lost dominance in patients in NYHA II, and in those receiving beta-adrenoceptor antagonists or ACE inhibitors; the mean incremental cost-utility ratio for these groups was 21 240, 129 200, and 36 500 and U20AC;/QALY, respectively. Valsartan in addition to standard therapy is predicted to dominate standard therapy alone in Italian patients with mild to severe heart failure and low LVEF. There are relevant differences among various patient subgroups, and valsartan is expected to be good value for money particularly in the treatment of the most severe and less intensively treated (no ACE inhibitors, no beta-adrenoceptor antagonist) heart failure patients. FAU - Pradelli, Lorenzo AU - Pradelli L AD - AdRes Srl, Turin, Italy. l.pradelli@adreshe.com FAU - Iannazzo, Sergio AU - Iannazzo S FAU - Zaniolo, Orietta AU - Zaniolo O LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - New Zealand TA - Am J Cardiovasc Drugs JT - American journal of cardiovascular drugs : drugs, devices, and other interventions JID - 100967755 RN - 0 (Antihypertensive Agents) RN - 0 (Tetrazoles) RN - 80M03YXJ7I (Valsartan) RN - HG18B9YRS7 (Valine) SB - IM MH - Age Factors MH - Aged MH - Antihypertensive Agents/*economics/therapeutic use MH - Chronic Disease/drug therapy/economics MH - Computer Simulation MH - Cost-Benefit Analysis/*methods MH - Drug Costs MH - Female MH - Heart Failure/*drug therapy/*economics/mortality MH - Hospital Costs MH - Humans MH - Italy MH - Male MH - *Markov Chains MH - Middle Aged MH - Models, Statistical MH - Quality of Life MH - Quality-Adjusted Life Years MH - Sex Factors MH - Tetrazoles/*economics/therapeutic use MH - Valine/*analogs & derivatives/economics/therapeutic use MH - Valsartan EDAT- 2009/11/26 06:00 MHDA- 2010/03/17 06:00 CRDT- 2009/11/26 06:00 PHST- 2009/11/26 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2009/11/26 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2010/03/17 06:00 [medline] AID - 4 [pii] AID - 10.2165/11315730-000000000-00000 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Am J Cardiovasc Drugs. 2009;9(6):383-92. doi: 10.2165/11315730-000000000-00000.