PMID- 21076561 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20110307 LR - 20211020 IS - 1564-0604 (Electronic) IS - 0042-9686 (Print) IS - 0042-9686 (Linking) VI - 88 IP - 11 DP - 2010 Nov 1 TI - Intermittent preventive treatment for malaria in infants: a decision-support tool for sub-Saharan Africa. PG - 807-14 LID - 10.2471/BLT.09.072397 [doi] AB - OBJECTIVE: To develop a decision-support tool to help policy-makers in sub-Saharan Africa assess whether intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) would be effective for local malaria control. METHODS: An algorithm for predicting the effect of IPTi was developed using two approaches. First, study data on the age patterns of clinical cases of Plasmodium falciparum malaria, hospital admissions for infection with malaria parasites and malaria-associated death for different levels of malaria transmission intensity and seasonality were used to estimate the percentage of cases of these outcomes that would occur in children aged <10 years targeted by IPTi. Second, a previously developed stochastic mathematical model of IPTi was used to predict the number of cases likely to be averted by implementing IPTi under different epidemiological conditions. The decision-support tool uses the data from these two approaches that are most relevant to the context specified by the user. FINDINGS: Findings from the two approaches indicated that the percentage of cases targeted by IPTi increases with the severity of the malaria outcome and with transmission intensity. The decision-support tool, available on the Internet, provides estimates of the percentage of malaria-associated deaths, hospitalizations and clinical cases that will be targeted by IPTi in a specified context and of the number of these outcomes that could be averted. CONCLUSION: The effectiveness of IPTi varies with malaria transmission intensity and seasonality. Deciding where to implement IPTi must take into account the local epidemiology of malaria. The Internet-based decision-support tool described here predicts the likely effectiveness of IPTi under a wide range of epidemiological conditions. FAU - Carneiro, Ilona AU - Carneiro I AD - Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, England. ilona.carneiro@lshtm.ac.uk FAU - Smith, Lucy AU - Smith L FAU - Ross, Amanda AU - Ross A FAU - Roca-Feltrer, Arantxa AU - Roca-Feltrer A FAU - Greenwood, Brian AU - Greenwood B FAU - Schellenberg, Joanna Armstrong AU - Schellenberg JA FAU - Smith, Thomas AU - Smith T FAU - Schellenberg, David AU - Schellenberg D LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20100510 PL - Switzerland TA - Bull World Health Organ JT - Bulletin of the World Health Organization JID - 7507052 RN - 0 (Antimalarials) SB - IM MH - Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology MH - Age Distribution MH - Algorithms MH - Antimalarials/administration & dosage/*therapeutic use MH - Child MH - Child, Preschool MH - Confidence Intervals MH - *Decision Support Techniques MH - Epidemiologic Methods MH - Female MH - *Health Policy MH - Hospitalization MH - Humans MH - Infant MH - Infant, Newborn MH - Malaria/epidemiology/mortality/*prevention & control MH - Male MH - Models, Theoretical MH - Plasmodium malariae/*isolation & purification MH - Stochastic Processes MH - Time Factors PMC - PMC2971505 EDAT- 2010/11/16 06:00 MHDA- 2011/03/08 06:00 PMCR- 2010/11/01 CRDT- 2010/11/16 06:00 PHST- 2009/09/28 00:00 [received] PHST- 2010/03/05 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2010/03/10 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2010/11/16 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2010/11/16 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2011/03/08 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2010/11/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - BLT.09.072397 [pii] AID - 10.2471/BLT.09.072397 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Bull World Health Organ. 2010 Nov 1;88(11):807-14. doi: 10.2471/BLT.09.072397. Epub 2010 May 10.