PMID- 21155038 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20110503 LR - 20221207 IS - 1976-2437 (Electronic) IS - 0513-5796 (Print) IS - 0513-5796 (Linking) VI - 52 IP - 1 DP - 2011 Jan TI - Nomogram to predict insignificant prostate cancer at radical prostatectomy in Korean men: a multi-center study. PG - 74-80 LID - 10.3349/ymj.2011.52.1.74 [doi] AB - PURPOSE: Due to the availability of serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing, the detection rate of insignificant prostate cancer (IPC) is increasing. To ensure better treatment decisions, we developed a nomogram to predict the probability of IPC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study population consisted of 1,471 patients who were treated at multiple institutions by radical prostatectomy without neoadjuvant therapy from 1995 to 2008. We obtained nonrandom samples of n = 1,031 for nomogram development, leaving n = 440 for nomogram validation. IPC was defined as pathologic organ-confined disease and a tumor volume of 0.5 cc or less without Gleason grade 4 or 5. Multivariate logistic regression model (MLRM) coefficients were used to construct a nomogram to predict IPC from five variables, including serum prostate specific antigen, clinical stage, biopsy Gleason score, positive cores ratio and maximum % of tumor in any core. The performance characteristics were internally validated from 200 bootstrap resamples to reduce overfit bias. External validation was also performed in another cohort. RESULTS: Overall, 67 (6.5%) patients had a so-called "insignificant" tumor in nomogram development cohort. PSA, clinical stage, biopsy Gleason score, positive core ratio and maximum % of biopsy tumor represented significant predictors of the presence of IPC. The resulting nomogram had excellent discrimination accuracy, with a bootstrapped concordance index of 0.827. CONCLUSION: Our current nomogram provides sufficiently accurate information in clinical practice that may be useful to patients and clinicians when various treatment options for screen-detected prostate cancer are considered. FAU - Chung, Jae Seung AU - Chung JS AD - Department of Urology, Urological Science Institute, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea. FAU - Choi, Han Yong AU - Choi HY FAU - Song, Hae-Ryoung AU - Song HR FAU - Byun, Seok-Soo AU - Byun SS FAU - Seo, Seong Il AU - Seo SI FAU - Song, Cheryn AU - Song C FAU - Cho, Jin Seon AU - Cho JS FAU - Lee, Sang Eun AU - Lee SE FAU - Ahn, Hanjong AU - Ahn H FAU - Lee, Eun Sik AU - Lee ES FAU - Hwang, Tae-Kon AU - Hwang TK FAU - Kim, Wun-Jae AU - Kim WJ FAU - Chung, Moon Kee AU - Chung MK FAU - Jung, Tae Young AU - Jung TY FAU - Yu, Ho Song AU - Yu HS FAU - Choi, Young Deuk AU - Choi YD LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Multicenter Study PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - Korea (South) TA - Yonsei Med J JT - Yonsei medical journal JID - 0414003 SB - IM MH - Aged MH - Asian People MH - Humans MH - Logistic Models MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - *Nomograms MH - Prostatectomy MH - Prostatic Neoplasms/*diagnosis/surgery PMC - PMC3017711 COIS- The authors have no financial conflicts of interest. EDAT- 2010/12/15 06:00 MHDA- 2011/05/04 06:00 PMCR- 2011/01/01 CRDT- 2010/12/15 06:00 PHST- 2010/12/15 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2010/12/15 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2011/05/04 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2011/01/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 201101074 [pii] AID - 10.3349/ymj.2011.52.1.74 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Yonsei Med J. 2011 Jan;52(1):74-80. doi: 10.3349/ymj.2011.52.1.74.