PMID- 21558332 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20111109 LR - 20220409 IS - 1460-2350 (Electronic) IS - 0268-1161 (Linking) VI - 26 IP - 7 DP - 2011 Jul TI - Association between the number of eggs and live birth in IVF treatment: an analysis of 400 135 treatment cycles. PG - 1768-74 LID - 10.1093/humrep/der106 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: While live birth is the principal clinical outcome following in vitro fertilization (IVF) treatment, the number of eggs retrieved following ovarian stimulation is often used as a surrogate outcome in clinical practice and research. The aim of this study was to explore the association between egg number and live birth following IVF treatment and identify the number of eggs that would optimize the IVF outcome. METHODS: Anonymized data on all IVF cycles performed in the UK from April 1991 to June 2008 were obtained from the Human Fertilization and Embryology Authority (HFEA). We analysed data from 400 135 IVF cycles. A logistic model was fitted to predict live birth using fractional polynomials to handle the number of eggs as a continuous independent variable. The prediction model, which was validated on a separate HFEA data set, allowed the estimation of the probability of live birth for a given number of eggs, stratified by age group. We produced a nomogram to predict the live birth rate (LBR) following IVF based on the number of eggs and the age of the female. RESULTS: The median number of eggs retrieved per cycle was 9 [inter-quartile range (IQR) 6-13]. The overall LBR was 21.3% per fresh IVF cycle. There was a strong association between the number of eggs and LBR; LBR rose with an increasing number of eggs up to approximately 15, plateaued between 15 and 20 eggs and steadily declined beyond 20 eggs. During 2006-2007, the predicted LBR for women with 15 eggs retrieved in age groups 18-34, 35-37, 38-39 and 40 years and over was 40, 36, 27 and 16%, respectively. There was a steady increase in the LBR per egg retrieved over time since 1991. CONCLUSION: The relationship between the number of eggs and live birth, across all female age groups, suggests that the number of eggs in IVF is a robust surrogate outcome for clinical success. The results showed a non-linear relationship between the number of eggs and LBR following IVF treatment. The number of eggs to maximize the LBR is approximately 15. FAU - Sunkara, Sesh Kamal AU - Sunkara SK AD - Guy's and St Thomas' Foundation Trust, King's College London, London, UK. FAU - Rittenberg, Vivian AU - Rittenberg V FAU - Raine-Fenning, Nick AU - Raine-Fenning N FAU - Bhattacharya, Siladitya AU - Bhattacharya S FAU - Zamora, Javier AU - Zamora J FAU - Coomarasamy, Arri AU - Coomarasamy A LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Validation Study DEP - 20110510 PL - England TA - Hum Reprod JT - Human reproduction (Oxford, England) JID - 8701199 SB - IM MH - Adolescent MH - Adult MH - Birth Rate MH - Female MH - *Fertilization in Vitro MH - Humans MH - *Live Birth MH - Logistic Models MH - Oocyte Retrieval MH - Ovulation Induction MH - Ovum/*physiology MH - Pregnancy EDAT- 2011/05/12 06:00 MHDA- 2011/11/10 06:00 CRDT- 2011/05/12 06:00 PHST- 2011/05/12 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2011/05/12 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2011/11/10 06:00 [medline] AID - der106 [pii] AID - 10.1093/humrep/der106 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Hum Reprod. 2011 Jul;26(7):1768-74. doi: 10.1093/humrep/der106. Epub 2011 May 10.