PMID- 22900680 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20121221 LR - 20220330 IS - 1475-2840 (Electronic) IS - 1475-2840 (Linking) VI - 11 DP - 2012 Aug 18 TI - Prognostic implications of surrogate markers of atherosclerosis in low to intermediate risk patients with type 2 diabetes. PG - 101 LID - 10.1186/1475-2840-11-101 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients are at increased risk of developing cardiovascular events. Unfortunately traditional risk assessment scores, including the Framingham Risk Score (FRS), have only modest accuracy in cardiovascular risk prediction in these patients. METHODS: We sought to determine the prognostic values of different non-invasive markers of atherosclerosis, including brachial artery endothelial function, carotid artery atheroma burden, ankle-brachial index, arterial stiffness and computed tomography coronary artery calcium score (CACS) in 151 T2DM Chinese patients that were identified low-intermediate risk from the FRS recalibrated for Chinese (<20% risk in 10 years). Patients were prospectively followed-up and presence of atherosclerotic events documented for a mean duration of 61 +/- 16 months. RESULTS: A total of 17 atherosclerotic events in 16 patients (11%) occurred during the follow-up period. The mean FRS of the study population was 5.0 +/- 4.6% and area under curve (AUC) from receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for prediction of atherosclerotic events was 0.59 +/- 0.07 (P = 0.21). Among different vascular assessments, CACS > 40 had the best prognostic value (AUC 0.81 +/- 0.06, P < 0.01) and offered significantly better accuracy in prediction compared with FRS (P = 0.038 for AUC comparisons). Combination of FRS with CACS or other surrogate vascular markers did not further improve the prognostic values over CACS alone. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified CACS > 40 as an independent predictor of atherosclerotic events in T2DM patients (Hazards Ratio 27.11, 95% Confidence Interval 3.36-218.81, P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: In T2DM patients identified as low-intermediate risk by the FRS, a raised CACS > 40 was an independent predictor for atherosclerotic events. FAU - Lau, Kui-Kai AU - Lau KK AD - Division of Neurology, Department of Medicine, Queen Mary Hospital, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China. FAU - Wong, Yuen-Kwun AU - Wong YK FAU - Chan, Yap-Hang AU - Chan YH FAU - Yiu, Kai-Hang AU - Yiu KH FAU - Teo, Kay-Cheong AU - Teo KC FAU - Li, Leonard Sheung-Wai AU - Li LS FAU - Ho, Shu-Leong AU - Ho SL FAU - Chan, Koon-Ho AU - Chan KH FAU - Siu, Chung-Wah AU - Siu CW FAU - Tse, Hung-Fat AU - Tse HF LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20120818 PL - England TA - Cardiovasc Diabetol JT - Cardiovascular diabetology JID - 101147637 SB - IM MH - Aged MH - Ankle Brachial Index MH - Area Under Curve MH - Atherosclerosis/*diagnosis/*epidemiology/physiopathology MH - Brachial Artery/physiopathology MH - Carotid Arteries/pathology MH - Carotid Artery Diseases/*diagnosis/*epidemiology MH - Carotid Intima-Media Thickness MH - Chi-Square Distribution MH - Comorbidity MH - Coronary Angiography/methods MH - Coronary Artery Disease/*diagnosis/*epidemiology MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/*epidemiology MH - Diabetic Angiopathies/*diagnosis/*epidemiology/physiopathology MH - Disease-Free Survival MH - Endothelium, Vascular/physiopathology MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Hong Kong/epidemiology MH - Humans MH - Kaplan-Meier Estimate MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Multivariate Analysis MH - Plaque, Atherosclerotic MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Prognosis MH - Proportional Hazards Models MH - Prospective Studies MH - Pulse Wave Analysis MH - Risk Assessment MH - Risk Factors MH - Time Factors MH - Tomography, X-Ray Computed MH - Vascular Calcification/diagnosis/epidemiology MH - Vascular Stiffness PMC - PMC3444371 EDAT- 2012/08/21 06:00 MHDA- 2012/12/22 06:00 PMCR- 2012/08/18 CRDT- 2012/08/21 06:00 PHST- 2012/04/13 00:00 [received] PHST- 2012/08/11 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2012/08/21 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2012/08/21 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2012/12/22 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2012/08/18 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 1475-2840-11-101 [pii] AID - 10.1186/1475-2840-11-101 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Cardiovasc Diabetol. 2012 Aug 18;11:101. doi: 10.1186/1475-2840-11-101.