PMID- 23362961
OWN - NLM
STAT- MEDLINE
DCOM- 20140620
LR  - 20181202
IS  - 1520-5851 (Electronic)
IS  - 0013-936X (Linking)
VI  - 47
IP  - 5
DP  - 2013 Mar 5
TI  - Emissions, fate and transport of persistent organic pollutants to the Arctic in a 
      changing global climate.
PG  - 2323-30
LID - 10.1021/es304646n [doi]
AB  - Climate change is expected to alter patterns of human economic activity and the 
      associated emissions of chemicals, and also to affect the transport and fate of 
      persistent organic pollutants (POPs). Here, we use a global-scale multimedia 
      chemical fate model to analyze and quantify the impact of climate change on 
      emissions and fate of POPs, and their transport to the Arctic. First, climate 
      change effects under the SRES-A2 scenario are illustrated using case-studies for 
      two well-characterized POPs, PCB153, and alpha-HCH. Then, we model the combined 
      impact of altered emission patterns and climatic conditions on environmental 
      concentrations of potential future-use substances with a broad range of chemical 
      properties. Starting from base-case generic emission scenarios, we postulate 
      changes in emission patterns that may occur in response to climate change: 
      enhanced usage of industrial chemicals in an ice-free Arctic, and intensified 
      application of agrochemicals due to higher crop production and poleward expansion 
      of potential arable land. We find both increases and decreases in concentrations 
      of POP-like chemicals in the Arctic in the climate change scenario compared to 
      the base-case climate. During the phase of ongoing primary emissions, modeled 
      increases in Arctic contamination are up to a factor of 2 in air and water, and 
      are driven mostly by changes in emission patterns. After phase-out, increases are 
      up to a factor of 2 in air and 4 in water, and are mostly attributable to changes 
      in transport and fate of chemicals under the climate change scenario.
FAU - Wohrnschimmel, Henry
AU  - Wohrnschimmel H
AD  - Institute for Chemical and Bioengineering, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology 
      Zurich , Wolfgang-Pauli Strasse 10, 8093 Zurich, Switzerland.
FAU - MacLeod, Matthew
AU  - MacLeod M
FAU - Hungerbuhler, Konrad
AU  - Hungerbuhler K
LA  - eng
PT  - Journal Article
PT  - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
DEP - 20130215
PL  - United States
TA  - Environ Sci Technol
JT  - Environmental science & technology
JID - 0213155
RN  - 0 (Environmental Pollutants)
RN  - 0 (Organic Chemicals)
RN  - 059QF0KO0R (Water)
SB  - IM
MH  - Air/analysis
MH  - Arctic Regions
MH  - *Climate Change
MH  - Environmental Pollutants/*analysis
MH  - Humans
MH  - *Models, Theoretical
MH  - Organic Chemicals/*analysis
MH  - Water/chemistry
EDAT- 2013/02/01 06:00
MHDA- 2014/06/21 06:00
CRDT- 2013/02/01 06:00
PHST- 2013/02/01 06:00 [entrez]
PHST- 2013/02/01 06:00 [pubmed]
PHST- 2014/06/21 06:00 [medline]
AID - 10.1021/es304646n [doi]
PST - ppublish
SO  - Environ Sci Technol. 2013 Mar 5;47(5):2323-30. doi: 10.1021/es304646n. Epub 2013 
      Feb 15.