PMID- 23403430 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20131024 LR - 20211021 IS - 1098-6596 (Electronic) IS - 0066-4804 (Print) IS - 0066-4804 (Linking) VI - 57 IP - 5 DP - 2013 May TI - Monte Carlo simulations based on phase 1 studies predict target attainment of ceftobiprole in nosocomial pneumonia patients: a validation study. PG - 2047-53 LID - 10.1128/AAC.02292-12 [doi] AB - Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) of antimicrobial dosage regimens during drug development to derive predicted target attainment values is frequently used to choose the optimal dose for the treatment of patients in phase 2 and 3 studies. A criticism is that pharmacokinetic (PK) parameter estimates and variability in healthy volunteers are smaller than those in patients. In this study, the initial estimates of exposure from MCS were compared with actual exposure data in patients treated with ceftobiprole in a phase 3 nosocomial-pneumonia (NP) study (NTC00210964). Results of MCS using population PK data from ceftobiprole derived from 12 healthy volunteers were used (J. W. Mouton, A. Schmitt-Hoffmann, S. Shapiro, N. Nashed, N. C. Punt, Antimicrob. Agents Chemother. 48:1713-1718, 2004). Actual individual exposures in patients were derived after building a population pharmacokinetic model and were used to calculate the individual exposure to ceftobiprole (the percentage of time the unbound concentration exceeds the MIC [percent fT > MIC]) for a range of MIC values. For the ranges of percent fT > MIC used to determine the dosage schedule in the phase 3 NP study, the MCS using data from a single phase 1 study in healthy volunteers accurately predicted the actual clinical exposure to ceftobiprole. The difference at 50% fT > MIC at an MIC of 4 mg/liter was 3.5% for PK-sampled patients. For higher values of percent fT > MIC and MICs, the MCS slightly underestimated the target attainment, probably due to extreme values in the PK profile distribution used in the simulations. The probability of target attainment based on MCS in healthy volunteers adequately predicted the actual exposures in a patient population, including severely ill patients. FAU - Muller, Anouk E AU - Muller AE AD - Department of Medical Microbiology, Radboud University Nijmegen Medical Centre, HB Nijmegen, The Netherlands. muller.research@gmail.com FAU - Schmitt-Hoffmann, Anne H AU - Schmitt-Hoffmann AH FAU - Punt, Nieko AU - Punt N FAU - Mouton, Johan W AU - Mouton JW LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PT - Validation Study DEP - 20130212 PL - United States TA - Antimicrob Agents Chemother JT - Antimicrobial agents and chemotherapy JID - 0315061 RN - 0 (Anti-Bacterial Agents) RN - 0 (Cephalosporins) RN - 5T97333YZK (ceftobiprole) SB - IM MH - Adolescent MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Anti-Bacterial Agents/blood/*pharmacokinetics MH - Cephalosporins/blood/*pharmacokinetics MH - Clinical Trials, Phase I as Topic MH - Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic MH - Cross Infection/*blood/drug therapy/microbiology MH - *Drug Dosage Calculations MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Microbial Sensitivity Tests MH - Middle Aged MH - *Monte Carlo Method MH - Pneumonia, Bacterial/*blood/drug therapy/microbiology PMC - PMC3632954 EDAT- 2013/02/14 06:00 MHDA- 2013/10/25 06:00 PMCR- 2013/11/01 CRDT- 2013/02/14 06:00 PHST- 2013/02/14 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2013/02/14 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2013/10/25 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2013/11/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - AAC.02292-12 [pii] AID - 02292-12 [pii] AID - 10.1128/AAC.02292-12 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Antimicrob Agents Chemother. 2013 May;57(5):2047-53. doi: 10.1128/AAC.02292-12. Epub 2013 Feb 12.