PMID- 24007675 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20140728 LR - 20211021 IS - 1552-9924 (Electronic) IS - 0091-6765 (Print) IS - 0091-6765 (Linking) VI - 121 IP - 11-12 DP - 2013 Nov-Dec TI - Persistent organic pollutants in Norwegian men from 1979 to 2007: intraindividual changes, age-period-cohort effects, and model predictions. PG - 1292-8 LID - 10.1289/ehp.1206317 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Longitudinal monitoring studies of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) in human populations are important to better understand changes with time and age, and for future predictions. OBJECTIVES: We sought to describe serum POP time trends on an individual level, investigate age-period-cohort effects, and compare predicted polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) concentrations to measured values. METHODS: Serum was sampled in 1979, 1986, 1994, 2001, and 2007 from a cohort of 53 men in Northern Norway and analyzed for 41 POPs. Time period, age, and birth cohort effects were assessed by graphical analyses and mixed-effect models. We derived the predicted concentrations of four PCBs for each sampling year using the CoZMoMAN model. RESULTS: The median decreases in summed serum POP concentrations (lipid-adjusted) in 1986, 1994, 2001, and 2007 relative to 1979 were -22%, -52%, -54%, and -68%, respectively. We observed substantial declines in all POP groups with the exception of chlordanes. Time period (reflected by sampling year) was the strongest descriptor of changes in PCB-153 concentrations. Predicted PCB-153 concentrations were consistent with measured concentrations in the study population. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest substantial intraindividual declines in serum concentrations of legacy POPs from 1979 to 2007 in men from Northern Norway. These changes are consistent with reduced environmental exposure during these 30 years and highlight the relation between historic emissions and POP concentrations measured in humans. Observed data and interpretations are supported by estimates from the CoZMoMAN emission-based model. A longitudinal decrease in concentrations with age was evident for all birth cohorts. Overall, our findings support the relevance of age-period-cohort effects to human biomonitoring of environmental contaminants. FAU - Nost, Therese Haugdahl AU - Nost TH AD - Department of Community Medicine, University of Tromso, Tromso, Norway. FAU - Breivik, Knut AU - Breivik K FAU - Fuskevag, Ole-Martin AU - Fuskevag OM FAU - Nieboer, Evert AU - Nieboer E FAU - Odland, Jon Oyvind AU - Odland JO FAU - Sandanger, Torkjel Manning AU - Sandanger TM LA - eng PT - Historical Article PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20130905 PL - United States TA - Environ Health Perspect JT - Environmental health perspectives JID - 0330411 RN - 0 (Environmental Pollutants) RN - DFC2HB4I0K (Polychlorinated Biphenyls) RN - ZRU0C9E32O (2,4,5,2',4',5'-hexachlorobiphenyl) SB - IM MH - Age Factors MH - Cohort Effect MH - Environmental Exposure/*analysis MH - Environmental Monitoring/*statistics & numerical data MH - Environmental Pollutants/*blood MH - Gas Chromatography-Mass Spectrometry MH - History, 20th Century MH - History, 21st Century MH - Humans MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - Male MH - Models, Statistical MH - Norway/epidemiology MH - Polychlorinated Biphenyls/blood MH - Solid Phase Extraction MH - Statistics, Nonparametric MH - Surveys and Questionnaires MH - Time Factors PMC - PMC3855502 COIS- The authors declare they have no actual or potential competing financial interests. EDAT- 2013/09/07 06:00 MHDA- 2014/07/30 06:00 PMCR- 2013/11/01 CRDT- 2013/09/07 06:00 PHST- 2012/11/26 00:00 [received] PHST- 2013/08/30 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2013/09/07 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2013/09/07 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2014/07/30 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2013/11/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - ehp.1206317 [pii] AID - 10.1289/ehp.1206317 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Environ Health Perspect. 2013 Nov-Dec;121(11-12):1292-8. doi: 10.1289/ehp.1206317. Epub 2013 Sep 5.