PMID- 24028682 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20150417 LR - 20211021 IS - 1466-609X (Electronic) IS - 1364-8535 (Print) IS - 1364-8535 (Linking) VI - 17 IP - 5 DP - 2013 Sep 12 TI - Body temperature patterns as a predictor of hospital-acquired sepsis in afebrile adult intensive care unit patients: a case-control study. PG - R200 LID - 10.1186/cc12894 [doi] AB - INTRODUCTION: Early treatment of sepsis improves survival, but early diagnosis of hospital-acquired sepsis, especially in critically ill patients, is challenging. Evidence suggests that subtle changes in body temperature patterns may be an early indicator of sepsis, but data is limited. The aim of this study was to examine whether abnormal body temperature patterns, as identified by visual examination, could predict the subsequent diagnosis of sepsis in afebrile critically ill patients. METHODS: Retrospective case-control study of 32 septic and 29 non-septic patients in an adult medical and surgical ICU. Temperature curves for the period starting 72 hours and ending 8 hours prior to the clinical suspicion of sepsis (for septic patients) and for the 72-hour period prior to discharge from the ICU (for non-septic patients) were rated as normal or abnormal by seven blinded physicians. Multivariable logistic regression was used to compare groups in regard to maximum temperature, minimum temperature, greatest change in temperature in any 24-hour period, and whether the majority of evaluators rated the curve to be abnormal. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics of the groups were similar except the septic group had more trauma patients (31.3% vs. 6.9%, p = .02) and more patients requiring mechanical ventilation (75.0% vs. 41.4%, p = .008). Multivariable logistic regression to control for baseline differences demonstrated that septic patients had significantly larger temperature deviations in any 24-hour period compared to control patients (1.5 degrees C vs. 1.1 degrees C, p = .02). An abnormal temperature pattern was noted by a majority of the evaluators in 22 (68.8%) septic patients and 7 (24.1%) control patients (adjusted OR 4.43, p = .017). This resulted in a sensitivity of 0.69 (95% CI [confidence interval] 0.50, 0.83) and specificity of 0.76 (95% CI 0.56, 0.89) of abnormal temperature curves to predict sepsis. The median time from the temperature plot to the first culture was 9.40 hours (IQR [inter-quartile range] 8.00, 18.20) and to the first dose of antibiotics was 16.90 hours (IQR 8.35, 34.20). CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal body temperature curves were predictive of the diagnosis of sepsis in afebrile critically ill patients. Analysis of temperature patterns, rather than absolute values, may facilitate decreased time to antimicrobial therapy. FAU - Drewry, Anne M AU - Drewry AM FAU - Fuller, Brian M AU - Fuller BM FAU - Bailey, Thomas C AU - Bailey TC FAU - Hotchkiss, Richard S AU - Hotchkiss RS LA - eng GR - UL1 TR000448/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States GR - GM 44118/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States GR - GM 55194/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article PT - Observational Study PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20130912 PL - England TA - Crit Care JT - Critical care (London, England) JID - 9801902 SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Body Temperature/*physiology MH - Case-Control Studies MH - Cross Infection/*diagnosis/epidemiology/*physiopathology MH - Female MH - Humans MH - *Intensive Care Units/trends MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Sepsis/*diagnosis/epidemiology/*physiopathology PMC - PMC3906745 EDAT- 2013/09/14 06:00 MHDA- 2015/04/18 06:00 PMCR- 2013/09/12 CRDT- 2013/09/14 06:00 PHST- 2013/05/13 00:00 [received] PHST- 2013/09/12 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2013/09/14 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2013/09/14 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2015/04/18 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2013/09/12 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - cc12894 [pii] AID - 10.1186/cc12894 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Crit Care. 2013 Sep 12;17(5):R200. doi: 10.1186/cc12894.