PMID- 24139213 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20140204 LR - 20131210 IS - 1532-8392 (Electronic) IS - 0046-8177 (Linking) VI - 45 IP - 1 DP - 2014 Jan TI - Development of a multivariate model to predict the likelihood of carcinoma in patients with indeterminate peripheral lung nodules after a nondiagnostic bronchoscopic evaluation. PG - 41-7 LID - S0046-8177(13)00330-4 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.humpath.2013.07.038 [doi] AB - Studies have shown that fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) testing increases lung cancer detection on cytology specimens in peripheral nodules. The goal of this study was to determine whether a predictive model using clinical features and routine cytology with FISH results could predict lung malignancy after a nondiagnostic bronchoscopic evaluation. Patients with an indeterminate peripheral lung nodule that had a nondiagnostic bronchoscopic evaluation were included in this study (N = 220). FISH was performed on residual bronchial brushing cytology specimens diagnosed as negative (n = 195), atypical (n = 16), or suspicious (n = 9). FISH results included hypertetrasomy (n = 30) and negative (n = 190). Primary study end points included lung cancer status along with time to diagnosis of lung cancer or date of last clinical follow-up. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression model analyses, and P values < .05 were considered statistically significant. The mean age of the 220 patients was 66.7 years (range, 35-91), and most (58%) were men. Most patients (79%) were current or former smokers with a mean pack year history of 43.2 years (median, 40; range, 1-200). After multivariate analysis, hypertetrasomy FISH (HR = 2.96, P < .001), pack years (HR = 1.03 per pack year up to 50, P = .001), age (HR = 1.04 per year, P = .02), atypical or suspicious cytology (HR = 2.02, P = .04), and nodule spiculation (HR = 2.36, P = .003) were independent predictors of malignancy over time and were used to create a prediction model (C-statistic = 0.78). These results suggest that this multivariate model including test results and clinical features may be useful following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopic examination. CI - (c) 2013. FAU - Voss, Jesse S AU - Voss JS AD - Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, USA. FAU - Iqbal, Seher AU - Iqbal S FAU - Jenkins, Sarah M AU - Jenkins SM FAU - Henry, Michael R AU - Henry MR FAU - Clayton, Amy C AU - Clayton AC FAU - Jett, James R AU - Jett JR FAU - Kipp, Benjamin R AU - Kipp BR FAU - Halling, Kevin C AU - Halling KC FAU - Maldonado, Fabien AU - Maldonado F LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20131016 PL - United States TA - Hum Pathol JT - Human pathology JID - 9421547 SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Bronchoscopy MH - Cytodiagnosis MH - Disease Progression MH - Female MH - Humans MH - In Situ Hybridization, Fluorescence MH - Lung Diseases/diagnosis MH - Lung Neoplasms/*diagnosis MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Multivariate Analysis OTO - NOTNLM OT - Bronchoscopy OT - Cytology OT - Lung cancer OT - Pulmonary nodule EDAT- 2013/10/22 06:00 MHDA- 2014/02/05 06:00 CRDT- 2013/10/22 06:00 PHST- 2013/05/22 00:00 [received] PHST- 2013/07/26 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2013/07/31 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2013/10/22 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2013/10/22 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2014/02/05 06:00 [medline] AID - S0046-8177(13)00330-4 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.humpath.2013.07.038 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Hum Pathol. 2014 Jan;45(1):41-7. doi: 10.1016/j.humpath.2013.07.038. Epub 2013 Oct 16.