PMID- 24179162 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20140218 LR - 20140101 IS - 1468-201X (Electronic) IS - 1355-6037 (Linking) VI - 100 IP - 2 DP - 2014 Jan TI - A novel discharge risk model for patients hospitalised for acute decompensated heart failure incorporating N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels: a European coLlaboration on Acute decompeNsated Heart Failure: ELAN-HF Score. PG - 115-25 LID - 10.1136/heartjnl-2013-303632 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Models to stratify risk for patients hospitalised for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) do not include the change in N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels during hospitalisation. OBJECTIVE: The aim of our study was to develop a simple yet robust discharge prognostication score including NT-proBNP for this notorious high-risk population. DESIGN: Individual patient data meta-analyses of prospective cohort studies. SETTING: Seven prospective cohorts with in total 1301 patients. PATIENTS: Our study population was assembled from the seven studies by selecting those patients admitted because of clinically validated ADHF, discharged alive, and NT-proBNP measurements available at admission and at discharge. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The endpoints studied were all-cause mortality and a composite of all-cause mortality and/or first readmission for cardiovascular reason within 180 days after discharge. RESULTS: The model that incorporated NT-proBNP levels at discharge as well as the changes in NT-proBNP during hospitalisation in addition to age >/=75 years, peripheral oedema, systolic blood pressure /=15 mmol/L and New York Heart Association (NYHA) class at discharge, yielded the best C-statistic (area under the curve, 0.78, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.82). The addition of NT-proBNP to a reference model significantly improved prediction of mortality as shown by the net reclassification improvement (62%, p<0.001). A simplified model was obtained from the final Cox regression model by assigning weights to individual risk markers proportional to their relative risks. The risk score we designed identified four clinically significant subgroups. The pattern of increasing event rates with increasing score was confirmed in the validation group (BOT-AcuteHF, n=325, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients hospitalised for ADHF, the addition of the discharge NT-proBNP values as well as the change in NT-proBNP to known risk markers, generates a relatively simple yet robust discharge risk score that importantly improves the prediction of adverse events. FAU - Salah, Khibar AU - Salah K AD - Heart failure Research Center & Department of Cardiology, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, , Amsterdam, The Netherlands. FAU - Kok, Wouter E AU - Kok WE FAU - Eurlings, Luc W AU - Eurlings LW FAU - Bettencourt, Paulo AU - Bettencourt P FAU - Pimenta, Joana M AU - Pimenta JM FAU - Metra, Marco AU - Metra M FAU - Bayes-Genis, Antoni AU - Bayes-Genis A FAU - Verdiani, Valerio AU - Verdiani V FAU - Bettari, Luca AU - Bettari L FAU - Lazzarini, Valentina AU - Lazzarini V FAU - Damman, Peter AU - Damman P FAU - Tijssen, Jan G AU - Tijssen JG FAU - Pinto, Yigal M AU - Pinto YM LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Meta-Analysis DEP - 20131031 PL - England TA - Heart JT - Heart (British Cardiac Society) JID - 9602087 RN - 0 (Peptide Fragments) RN - 0 (pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)) RN - 114471-18-0 (Natriuretic Peptide, Brain) SB - IM MH - Acute Disease MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Cohort Studies MH - Disease Progression MH - Female MH - Heart Failure/blood/*diagnosis/mortality MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Natriuretic Peptide, Brain/*blood MH - Patient Discharge MH - Patient Readmission/statistics & numerical data MH - Peptide Fragments/*blood MH - Prognosis MH - Prospective Studies MH - Risk Assessment/*methods OTO - NOTNLM OT - Heart Failure EDAT- 2013/11/02 06:00 MHDA- 2014/02/19 06:00 CRDT- 2013/11/02 06:00 PHST- 2013/11/02 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2013/11/02 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2014/02/19 06:00 [medline] AID - heartjnl-2013-303632 [pii] AID - 10.1136/heartjnl-2013-303632 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Heart. 2014 Jan;100(2):115-25. doi: 10.1136/heartjnl-2013-303632. Epub 2013 Oct 31.