PMID- 24281135 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20140527 LR - 20140122 IS - 1941-3297 (Electronic) IS - 1941-3289 (Linking) VI - 7 IP - 1 DP - 2014 Jan TI - Four-variable risk model in men and women with heart failure. PG - 88-95 LID - 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000404 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Risk stratification is an integral component of clinical decision making in heart failure (HF). Women with HF have unique characteristics compared with men, and it is unknown whether common prognostic factors are equally useful in both populations. We aimed to investigate whether sex-specific risk models are more accurate for risk prediction in patients with advanced HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients with advanced HF referred to University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA; n=2255), were stratified by sex into derivation (referred in 2000-2007) and validation (referred in 2008-2011) cohorts. Cox regression analysis was used to ascertain key variables predictive of the primary end point of death/urgent transplantation/ventricular assist device in the derivation cohorts and confirmed in the validation cohorts in men, women, and the total population. Women were younger, with higher ejection fraction and better event-free survival. Despite differences in baseline characteristics, the 4 strongest predictors of outcome in both women and men, as well as in the total cohort, were B-type natriuretic peptide, peak oxygen consumption by cardiopulmonary exercise testing (pkVO2), New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification, and use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker. In addition, the UCLA model performed better than the Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM) and the Heart Failure Survival Score (HFSS) in our cohort (c-indices of 0.791[UCLA] versus 0.758 [SHFM], 0.607 [noninvasive HFSS], and 0.625 [invasive HFSS]). CONCLUSIONS: A simple risk model assessing 4 clinical variables-B-type natriuretic peptide, pkVO2, NYHA, and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blocker use-is well suited to provide prognostic information in both men and women with advanced HF. FAU - Chyu, Jennifer AU - Chyu J AD - Division of Cardiology, University of Washington, Seattle. FAU - Fonarow, Gregg C AU - Fonarow GC FAU - Tseng, Chi Hong AU - Tseng CH FAU - Horwich, Tamara B AU - Horwich TB LA - eng PT - Comparative Study PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20131126 PL - United States TA - Circ Heart Fail JT - Circulation. Heart failure JID - 101479941 RN - 0 (Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists) RN - 0 (Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors) RN - 114471-18-0 (Natriuretic Peptide, Brain) SB - IM CIN - Circ Heart Fail. 2014 Mar 1;7(2):380. PMID: 24643891 CIN - Circ Heart Fail. 2014 Mar 1;7(2):381. PMID: 24779055 MH - Adolescent MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Angiotensin Receptor Antagonists/*therapeutic use MH - Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors/*therapeutic use MH - Cohort Studies MH - Female MH - Heart Failure/classification/*mortality/*therapy MH - Heart Transplantation MH - Heart-Assist Devices MH - Humans MH - Kaplan-Meier Estimate MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - *Models, Cardiovascular MH - Natriuretic Peptide, Brain/*blood MH - Oxygen Consumption/*physiology MH - Prognosis MH - Regression Analysis MH - Risk Factors MH - Sex Factors MH - Survival Rate MH - Young Adult OTO - NOTNLM OT - heart failure OT - men OT - prognosis OT - therapy OT - women EDAT- 2013/11/28 06:00 MHDA- 2014/05/28 06:00 CRDT- 2013/11/28 06:00 PHST- 2013/11/28 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2013/11/28 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2014/05/28 06:00 [medline] AID - CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000404 [pii] AID - 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000404 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Circ Heart Fail. 2014 Jan;7(1):88-95. doi: 10.1161/CIRCHEARTFAILURE.113.000404. Epub 2013 Nov 26.