PMID- 24705352 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20141203 LR - 20211021 IS - 1932-6203 (Electronic) IS - 1932-6203 (Linking) VI - 9 IP - 4 DP - 2014 TI - Establishing and applying a schistosomiasis early warning index (SEWI) in the lower Yangtze River Region of Jiangsu Province, China. PG - e94012 LID - 10.1371/journal.pone.0094012 [doi] LID - e94012 AB - BACKGROUND: China has made remarkable progress in schistosomiasis control over the past decades. Transmission control has replaced morbidity control as the country moves towards the goal of elimination and the current challenge is to find a sensitive measure capable of gauging transmission risk in low-prevalence areas. The study aims to develop a Schistosomiasis Early Warning Index (SEWI) and demonstrate its use in Jiangsu Province along the lower Yangtze River. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The Delphi approach, a structured communication technique, was used to develop the SEWI. Two rounds of interviews with 30 public health experts specialized in schistosomiasis control were conducted using 40 indicators that reflected different aspects of schistosomiasis transmission and control. The necessity, feasibility, and sensitivity of each indicator were assessed and the weight value of each indicator determined based on these experts' judgment. The system included 3 first-order indicators, 7 second-order indicators, and 30 third-order indicators. The 3 first-order indicators were endemic status, control measures, social and environmental factors, with the weight values 0.366, 0.343 and 0.291, respectively. For the 7 second-order indicators, the highest weight value was for control measures for snails (0.175) and the lowest for transmission route (0.110). We estimated and mapped the SEWI for endemic areas at the county scale in Jiangsu Province finding that the majority of the endemic areas were characterized as medium transmission risk (SEWI risk values between 0.3 and 0.6), while areas where transmission interruption had been officially declared showed SEWI values <0.30. A few isolated areas (e.g. endemic islands in the Yangtze River) produced SEWI values >0.60. These estimates are largely in agreement with the endemicity levels based on recent epidemiological surveys. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The SEWI should be useful for estimation of schistosomiasis transmission surveillance, particularly with reference to the elimination of the disease in China. FAU - Yang, Kun AU - Yang K AD - Jiangsu Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Key Laboratory of Parasitic Disease Control and Prevention (Ministry of Health), Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Parasite Molecular Biology, Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China. FAU - Xu, Jun-Fang AU - Xu JF AD - Medicine school, Hubei University for Nationalities, Enshi, Hubei Province, China. FAU - Zhang, Jian-Feng AU - Zhang JF AD - Jiangsu Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Key Laboratory of Parasitic Disease Control and Prevention (Ministry of Health), Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Parasite Molecular Biology, Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China. FAU - Li, Wei AU - Li W AD - Jiangsu Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Key Laboratory of Parasitic Disease Control and Prevention (Ministry of Health), Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Parasite Molecular Biology, Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China. FAU - He, Jian AU - He J AD - Jiangsu Institute of Parasitic Diseases, Key Laboratory of Parasitic Disease Control and Prevention (Ministry of Health), Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Parasite Molecular Biology, Wuxi, Jiangsu Province, China. FAU - Liang, Song AU - Liang S AD - Department of Environmental and Global Health, College of Public Health and Health Professions, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America; Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America. FAU - Bergquist, Robert AU - Bergquist R AD - Ingerod 407, Brastad, Sweden. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20140404 PL - United States TA - PLoS One JT - PloS one JID - 101285081 SB - IM MH - China/epidemiology MH - Geography MH - Health Status Indicators MH - Humans MH - Meta-Analysis as Topic MH - Models, Statistical MH - Public Health Surveillance MH - Reproducibility of Results MH - *Rivers MH - Schistosomiasis/*epidemiology/*prevention & control/transmission PMC - PMC3976384 COIS- Competing Interests: The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. EDAT- 2014/04/08 06:00 MHDA- 2014/12/15 06:00 PMCR- 2014/04/04 CRDT- 2014/04/08 06:00 PHST- 2013/09/13 00:00 [received] PHST- 2014/03/12 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2014/04/08 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2014/04/08 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2014/12/15 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2014/04/04 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - PONE-D-13-38644 [pii] AID - 10.1371/journal.pone.0094012 [doi] PST - epublish SO - PLoS One. 2014 Apr 4;9(4):e94012. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0094012. eCollection 2014.