PMID- 25854937 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20180514 LR - 20240325 IS - 1477-0334 (Electronic) IS - 0962-2802 (Print) IS - 0962-2802 (Linking) VI - 26 IP - 3 DP - 2017 Jun TI - A statistical method for studying correlated rare events and their risk factors. PG - 1416-1428 LID - 10.1177/0962280215581112 [doi] AB - Longitudinal studies of rare events such as cervical high-grade lesions or colorectal polyps that can recur often involve correlated binary data. Risk factor for these events cannot be reliably examined using conventional statistical methods. For example, logistic regression models that incorporate generalized estimating equations often fail to converge or provide inaccurate results when analyzing data of this type. Although exact methods have been reported, they are complex and computationally difficult. The current paper proposes a mathematically straightforward and easy-to-use two-step approach involving (i) an additive model to measure associations between a rare or uncommon correlated binary event and potential risk factors and (ii) a permutation test to estimate the statistical significance of these associations. Simulation studies showed that the proposed method reliably tests and accurately estimates the associations of exposure with correlated binary rare events. This method was then applied to a longitudinal study of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genotype and risk of cervical high grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSIL) among HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected women. Results showed statistically significant associations of two HLA alleles among HIV-negative but not HIV-positive women, suggesting that immune status may modify the HLA and cervical HSIL association. Overall, the proposed method avoids model nonconvergence problems and provides a computationally simple, accurate, and powerful approach for the analysis of risk factor associations with rare/uncommon correlated binary events. FAU - Xue, Xiaonan AU - Xue X AD - Division of Biostatistics, Department Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA. FAU - Kim, Mimi Y AU - Kim MY AD - Division of Biostatistics, Department Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA. FAU - Wang, Tao AU - Wang T AD - Division of Biostatistics, Department Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA. FAU - Kuniholm, Mark H AU - Kuniholm MH AD - Division of Biostatistics, Department Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA. FAU - Strickler, Howard D AU - Strickler HD AD - Division of Biostatistics, Department Epidemiology and Population Health, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, NY, USA. LA - eng GR - U01 AI035004/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States GR - R01 AI057006/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States GR - R01 CA174634/CA/NCI NIH HHS/United States GR - R01 CA085178/CA/NCI NIH HHS/United States GR - P30 CA013330/CA/NCI NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article DEP - 20150408 PL - England TA - Stat Methods Med Res JT - Statistical methods in medical research JID - 9212457 RN - 0 (HLA Antigens) SB - IM MH - Female MH - HIV Infections/*complications/genetics MH - HLA Antigens/genetics MH - Humans MH - Logistic Models MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - Papillomavirus Infections/complications/genetics/virology MH - Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic/*methods MH - Risk Factors MH - Sample Size MH - Uterine Cervical Neoplasms/*complications/genetics/virology MH - Uterine Cervical Dysplasia/*complications/genetics/virology PMC - PMC4879603 MID - NIHMS769198 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Correlated data OT - exact method OT - generalized estimating equation OT - permutation OT - rare events COIS- Conflict of interest None declared. EDAT- 2015/04/10 06:00 MHDA- 2018/05/15 06:00 PMCR- 2016/10/08 CRDT- 2015/04/10 06:00 PHST- 2015/04/10 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2018/05/15 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2015/04/10 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2016/10/08 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 0962280215581112 [pii] AID - 10.1177/0962280215581112 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Stat Methods Med Res. 2017 Jun;26(3):1416-1428. doi: 10.1177/0962280215581112. Epub 2015 Apr 8.