PMID- 25972053 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20150825 LR - 20150619 IS - 1879-1913 (Electronic) IS - 0002-9149 (Linking) VI - 116 IP - 2 DP - 2015 Jul 15 TI - Prevalence and prediction of obstructive coronary artery disease in patients referred for valvular heart surgery. PG - 280-5 LID - S0002-9149(15)01121-2 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.amjcard.2015.03.063 [doi] AB - Current guidelines recommend a coronary evaluation before valvular heart surgery (VHS). Diagnostic coronary angiography is recommended in patients with known coronary artery disease (CAD) and those with high pretest probability of CAD. In patients with low or intermediate pretest probability of CAD, the guidelines recommend coronary computed tomographic angiography. However, there are no tools available to objectively assess a patient's risk for obstructive CAD before VHS. To address this deficit, 5,360 patients without histories of CAD who underwent diagnostic coronary angiography as part of preoperative evaluation for VHS were identified. Obstructive CAD was defined as >/=50% stenosis in >/=1 artery. Of the patients assessed, 1,035 (19.3%) were found to have obstructive CAD. Through multivariate analysis, age, gender, diabetes, renal dysfunction, hyperlipidemia, and a family history of premature CAD were found to be associated with the presence of obstructive CAD (p <0.001 for all). After adjustment, the specific dysfunctional valve was not associated with the presence of obstructive CAD. Patients were then randomly split into derivation and validation cohorts. Within the derivation cohort, using only age, gender, and the presence or absence of risk factors, a model was constructed to predict the risk for obstructive CAD (C statistic 0.766, 95% confidence interval 0.750 to 0.783). The risk prediction model performed well within the validation cohort (C statistic 0.767, 95% confidence interval 0.751 to 0.784, optimism 0.004). The bias-corrected C statistic for the model was 0.765 (95% confidence interval 0.748 to 0.782). In conclusion, this novel risk prediction tool can be used to objectively risk-stratify patients who undergo preoperative evaluation before VHS and to facilitate appropriate triage to computed tomographic angiography or diagnostic coronary angiography. CI - Copyright (c) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. FAU - Lappe, Jason M AU - Lappe JM AD - Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio. FAU - Grodin, Justin L AU - Grodin JL AD - Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio. FAU - Wu, Yuping AU - Wu Y AD - Department of Mathematics, Cleveland State University, Cleveland, Ohio. FAU - Bott-Silverman, Corinne AU - Bott-Silverman C AD - Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio. FAU - Cho, Leslie AU - Cho L AD - Heart and Vascular Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, Ohio. Electronic address: chol@ccf.org. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20150418 PL - United States TA - Am J Cardiol JT - The American journal of cardiology JID - 0207277 SB - IM MH - Age Factors MH - Aged MH - Coronary Angiography MH - Coronary Occlusion/complications/diagnosis/*epidemiology MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Heart Valve Diseases/complications/*surgery MH - *Heart Valve Prosthesis Implantation MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Ohio/epidemiology MH - Prevalence MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Risk Assessment/*methods MH - Risk Factors MH - Severity of Illness Index MH - Sex Factors MH - Tomography, X-Ray Computed EDAT- 2015/05/15 06:00 MHDA- 2015/08/26 06:00 CRDT- 2015/05/15 06:00 PHST- 2015/02/13 00:00 [received] PHST- 2015/03/31 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2015/03/31 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2015/05/15 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2015/05/15 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2015/08/26 06:00 [medline] AID - S0002-9149(15)01121-2 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.amjcard.2015.03.063 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Am J Cardiol. 2015 Jul 15;116(2):280-5. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2015.03.063. Epub 2015 Apr 18.