PMID- 25999251 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20150914 LR - 20220408 IS - 1532-7361 (Electronic) IS - 0039-6060 (Linking) VI - 158 IP - 2 DP - 2015 Aug TI - Net health benefit of hepatic resection versus intraarterial therapies for neuroendocrine liver metastases: A Markov decision model. PG - 339-48 LID - S0039-6060(15)00237-8 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.surg.2015.03.033 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Management of patients with neuroendocrine liver metastasis (NELM) remains controversial. We sought to compare the net health benefit (NHB) of hepatic resection (HR) versus intraarterial therapy (IAT) among patients with NELM. METHODS: A decision analytic Markov model was created to estimate and compare the cost effectiveness associated with different management strategies (HR vs IAT) for a simulated cohort of patients with NELM. The primary (base case) analysis was calculated based on a 57-year-old male patient with metachronous, symptomatic NELM that involved <25% of the liver in the absence of extrahepatic disease. The endpoints were quality-adjusted life-months (QALMs), quality-adjusted life-year (QALY), incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), and NHB. RESULTS: In the base case analysis, HR was strongly favored over IAT providing NHB of 20.0 QALMs and an ICER of $8,427 per QALY. In the Monte Carlo simulation, the greatest NHB for HR was among patients with functioning/symptomatic NELM, regardless of liver tumor burden. In the symptomatic group, IAT was favored only in a minority of old patients (>60 years) with extrahepatic disease and synchronous NELM. In contrast, in patients with nonfunctioning/asymptomatic NELM, hepatic tumor burden was the most important variable and HR was always cost ineffective in large tumors, independent of patient age and extrahepatic disease characteristics. CONCLUSION: A Markov decision model demonstrated that HR was the preferred strategy among patients with symptomatic NELM, regardless of hepatic disease burden. In contrast, IAT should be preferred for patients with large volume nonfunctioning/asymptomatic NELM. CI - Copyright (c) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. FAU - Spolverato, Gaya AU - Spolverato G AD - Department of Surgery, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. FAU - Vitale, Alessandro AU - Vitale A AD - Unita di Chirurgia Epatobiliare e Trapianto Epatico, Azienda Ospedaliera-Universita di Padova, Padova, Italy. FAU - Ejaz, Aslam AU - Ejaz A AD - Department of Surgery, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. FAU - Kim, Yuhree AU - Kim Y AD - Department of Surgery, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. FAU - Cosgrove, David AU - Cosgrove D AD - Department of Medical Oncology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. FAU - Schlacter, Todd AU - Schlacter T AD - Department of Radiology, Interventional Radiology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. FAU - Geschwind, Jean-Francis AU - Geschwind JF AD - Department of Radiology, Interventional Radiology, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. FAU - Pawlik, Timothy M AU - Pawlik TM AD - Department of Surgery, The Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD. Electronic address: tpawlik1@jhmi.edu. LA - eng PT - Comparative Study PT - Evaluation Study PT - Journal Article DEP - 20150518 PL - United States TA - Surgery JT - Surgery JID - 0417347 SB - IM MH - Computer Simulation MH - *Cost-Benefit Analysis MH - Decision Support Techniques MH - Health Care Costs MH - Hepatectomy/*economics/mortality MH - Humans MH - Infusions, Intra-Arterial/*economics/mortality MH - Liver Neoplasms/economics/mortality/*secondary/*therapy MH - Male MH - Markov Chains MH - Middle Aged MH - Models, Economic MH - Monte Carlo Method MH - Neuroendocrine Tumors/economics/mortality/*secondary/*therapy MH - Quality-Adjusted Life Years MH - Treatment Outcome MH - United States EDAT- 2015/05/23 06:00 MHDA- 2015/09/15 06:00 CRDT- 2015/05/23 06:00 PHST- 2014/12/21 00:00 [received] PHST- 2015/03/03 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2015/03/04 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2015/05/23 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2015/05/23 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2015/09/15 06:00 [medline] AID - S0039-6060(15)00237-8 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.surg.2015.03.033 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Surgery. 2015 Aug;158(2):339-48. doi: 10.1016/j.surg.2015.03.033. Epub 2015 May 18.