PMID- 26722957 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20170222 LR - 20220331 IS - 1547-5646 (Electronic) IS - 1547-5646 (Linking) VI - 25 IP - 6 DP - 2016 Dec TI - Do measures of surgical effectiveness at 1 year after lumbar spine surgery accurately predict 2-year outcomes? PG - 689-696 AB - OBJECTIVE With the recent passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, there has been a dramatic shift toward critical analyses of quality and longitudinal assessment of subjective and objective outcomes after lumbar spine surgery. Accordingly, the emergence and routine use of real-world institutional registries have been vital to the longitudinal assessment of quality. However, prospectively obtaining longitudinal outcomes for patients at 24 months after spine surgery remains a challenge. The aim of this study was to assess if 12-month measures of treatment effectiveness accurately predict long-term outcomes (24 months). METHODS A nationwide, multiinstitutional, prospective spine outcomes registry was used for this study. Enrollment criteria included available demographic, surgical, and clinical outcomes data. All patients had prospectively collected outcomes measures and a minimum 2-year follow-up. Patient-reported outcomes instruments (Oswestry Disability Index [ODI], SF-36, and visual analog scale [VAS]-back pain/leg pain) were completed before surgery and then at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery. The Health Transition Index of the SF-36 was used to determine the 1- and 2-year minimum clinically important difference (MCID), and logistic regression modeling was performed to determine if achieving MCID at 1 year adequately predicted improvement and achievement of MCID at 24 months. RESULTS The study group included 969 patients: 300 patients underwent anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF), 606 patients underwent transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF), and 63 patients underwent lateral interbody fusion (LLIF). There was a significant correlation between the 12- and 24-month ODI (r = 0.82; p < 0.0001), SF-36 Physical Component Summary score (r = 0.89; p < 0.0001), VAS-back pain (r = 0.90; p < 0.0001), and VAS-leg pain (r = 0.85; p < 0.0001). For the ALIF cohort, patients achieving MCID thresholds for ODI at 12 months were 13-fold (p < 0.0001) more likely to achieve MCID at 24 months. Similarly, for the TLIF and LLIF cohorts, patients achieving MCID thresholds for ODI at 12 months were 13-fold and 14-fold (p < 0.0001) more likely to achieve MCID at 24 months. Outcome measures obtained at 12 months postoperatively are highly predictive of 24-month outcomes, independent of the surgical procedure. CONCLUSIONS In a multiinstitutional prospective study, patient-centered measures of surgical effectiveness obtained at 12 months adequately predict long-term (24-month) outcomes after lumbar spine surgery. Patients achieving MCID at 1 year were more likely to report meaningful and durable improvement at 24 months, suggesting that the 12-month time point is sufficient to identify effective versus ineffective patient care. FAU - Adogwa, Owoicho AU - Adogwa O AD - Division of Neurosurgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; and. FAU - Elsamadicy, Aladine A AU - Elsamadicy AA AD - Division of Neurosurgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; and. FAU - Han, Jing L AU - Han JL AD - Division of Neurosurgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; and. FAU - Cheng, Joseph AU - Cheng J AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, Tennessee. FAU - Karikari, Isaac AU - Karikari I AD - Division of Neurosurgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; and. FAU - Bagley, Carlos A AU - Bagley CA AD - Division of Neurosurgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; and. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Multicenter Study DEP - 20160101 PL - United States TA - J Neurosurg Spine JT - Journal of neurosurgery. Spine JID - 101223545 SB - IM MH - Adolescent MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Back Pain/etiology/surgery MH - Disability Evaluation MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Humans MH - Intervertebral Disc Degeneration/surgery MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - Lumbar Vertebrae/*surgery MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Pain Measurement MH - Prognosis MH - Prospective Studies MH - Radiculopathy/complications/surgery MH - Registries MH - Spinal Fusion/*methods MH - Spondylolisthesis/surgery MH - Treatment Outcome MH - Young Adult OTO - NOTNLM OT - ALIF = anterior lumbar interbody fusion OT - HRQOL = health-related quality of life OT - LLIF = lateral interbody fusion OT - MCID = minimum clinically important difference OT - MCS = Mental Component Summary OT - MDC = minimum detectable change OT - ODI = Oswestry Disability Index OT - PCS = Physical Component Summary OT - TLIF =transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion OT - VAS = visual analog scale OT - effective measures OT - long-term outcomes OT - lumbar spine OT - spinal surgery OT - surgical effectiveness OT - surgical outcomes EDAT- 2016/01/02 06:00 MHDA- 2017/02/23 06:00 CRDT- 2016/01/02 06:00 PHST- 2016/01/02 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2017/02/23 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2016/01/02 06:00 [entrez] AID - 10.3171/2015.8.SPINE15476 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Neurosurg Spine. 2016 Dec;25(6):689-696. doi: 10.3171/2015.8.SPINE15476. Epub 2016 Jan 1.