PMID- 26844011 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20161005 LR - 20221207 IS - 2163-8306 (Electronic) IS - 2163-8306 (Linking) VI - 5 IP - 1 DP - 2016 Jan TI - Weight-HbA1c-insulin-glucose model for describing disease progression of type 2 diabetes. PG - 11-9 LID - 10.1002/psp4.12051 [doi] AB - A previous semi-mechanistic model described changes in fasting serum insulin (FSI), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) in patients with type 2 diabetic mellitus (T2DM) by modeling insulin sensitivity and beta-cell function. It was later suggested that change in body weight could affect insulin sensitivity, which this study evaluated in a population model to describe the disease progression of T2DM. Nonlinear mixed effects modeling was performed on data from 181 obese patients with newly diagnosed T2DM managed with diet and exercise for 67 weeks. Baseline beta-cell function and insulin sensitivity were 61% and 25% of normal, respectively. Management with diet and exercise (mean change in body weight = -4.1 kg) was associated with an increase of insulin sensitivity (30.1%) at the end of the study. Changes in insulin sensitivity were associated with a decrease of FPG (range, 7.8-7.3 mmol/L) and HbA1c (6.7-6.4%). Weight change as an effector on insulin sensitivity was successfully evaluated in a semi-mechanistic population model. FAU - Choy, S AU - Choy S AD - Department of Pharmaceutical Biosciences Uppsala University Uppsala Sweden. FAU - Kjellsson, M C AU - Kjellsson MC AD - Department of Pharmaceutical Biosciences Uppsala University Uppsala Sweden. FAU - Karlsson, M O AU - Karlsson MO AD - Department of Pharmaceutical Biosciences Uppsala University Uppsala Sweden. FAU - de Winter, W AU - de Winter W AD - Janssen Prevention Center Janssen Pharmaceutical Companies of Johnson & Johnson Leiden The Netherlands. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Multicenter Study PT - Randomized Controlled Trial DEP - 20151216 PL - United States TA - CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol JT - CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology JID - 101580011 RN - 0 (Blood Glucose) RN - 0 (Glycated Hemoglobin A) RN - 0 (Insulin) RN - 0 (hemoglobin A1c protein, human) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Algorithms MH - Blood Glucose/*metabolism MH - Body Weight MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/metabolism/*therapy MH - Disease Progression MH - Double-Blind Method MH - Female MH - Glycated Hemoglobin/*metabolism MH - Humans MH - Insulin/*blood MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - *Models, Biological MH - Obesity/blood/*complications/metabolism MH - Young Adult PMC - PMC4728293 EDAT- 2016/02/05 06:00 MHDA- 2016/02/05 06:01 PMCR- 2016/01/01 CRDT- 2016/02/05 06:00 PHST- 2015/09/24 00:00 [received] PHST- 2015/11/16 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2016/02/05 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2016/02/05 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2016/02/05 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2016/01/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - PSP412051 [pii] AID - 10.1002/psp4.12051 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - CPT Pharmacometrics Syst Pharmacol. 2016 Jan;5(1):11-9. doi: 10.1002/psp4.12051. Epub 2015 Dec 16.