PMID- 27019609 OWN - NLM STAT- Publisher LR - 20191120 IS - 1365-8816 (Print) IS - 1365-8816 (Linking) VI - 28 IP - 3 DP - 2014 Mar 4 TI - An uncertainty and sensitivity analysis approach for GIS-based multicriteria landslide susceptibility mapping. PG - 610-638 AB - GIS-based multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) methods are increasingly being used in landslide susceptibility mapping. However, the uncertainties that are associated with MCDA techniques may significantly impact the results. This may sometimes lead to inaccurate outcomes and undesirable consequences. This article introduces a new GIS-based MCDA approach. We illustrate the consequences of applying different MCDA methods within a decision-making process through uncertainty analysis. Three GIS-MCDA methods in conjunction with Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) and Dempster-Shafer theory are analyzed for landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) in the Urmia lake basin in Iran, which is highly susceptible to landslide hazards. The methodology comprises three stages. First, the LSM criteria are ranked and a sensitivity analysis is implemented to simulate error propagation based on the MCS. The resulting weights are expressed through probability density functions. Accordingly, within the second stage, three MCDA methods, namely analytical hierarchy process (AHP), weighted linear combination (WLC) and ordered weighted average (OWA), are used to produce the landslide susceptibility maps. In the third stage, accuracy assessments are carried out and the uncertainties of the different results are measured. We compare the accuracies of the three MCDA methods based on (1) the Dempster-Shafer theory and (2) a validation of the results using an inventory of known landslides and their respective coverage based on object-based image analysis of IRS-ID satellite images. The results of this study reveal that through the integration of GIS and MCDA models, it is possible to identify strategies for choosing an appropriate method for LSM. Furthermore, our findings indicate that the integration of MCDA and MCS can significantly improve the accuracy of the results. In LSM, the AHP method performed best, while the OWA reveals better performance in the reliability assessment. The WLC operation yielded poor results. FAU - Feizizadeh, Bakhtiar AU - Feizizadeh B AD - Department of Geoinformatics - Z_GIS, University of Salzburg, Salzburg, Austria; Center for Remote Sensing and GIS, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran. FAU - Blaschke, Thomas AU - Blaschke T AD - Department of Geoinformatics - Z_GIS, University of Salzburg , Salzburg , Austria. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20140120 PL - England TA - Int J Geogr Inf Sci JT - International journal of geographical information science : IJGIS JID - 101086096 PMC - PMC4786847 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Dempster-Shafer Theory OT - GIS-MCDA OT - Monte Carlo simulation OT - Urmia lake basin OT - landslide susceptibility mapping OT - sensitivity analysis EDAT- 2014/03/04 00:00 MHDA- 2014/03/04 00:00 PMCR- 2016/03/11 CRDT- 2016/03/29 06:00 PHST- 2013/07/07 00:00 [received] PHST- 2013/11/19 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2016/03/29 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2014/03/04 00:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2014/03/04 00:00 [medline] PHST- 2016/03/11 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 869821 [pii] AID - 10.1080/13658816.2013.869821 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Int J Geogr Inf Sci. 2014 Mar 4;28(3):610-638. doi: 10.1080/13658816.2013.869821. Epub 2014 Jan 20.