PMID- 27044165
OWN - NLM
STAT- MEDLINE
DCOM- 20160505
LR  - 20190923
IS  - 0253-1933 (Print)
IS  - 0253-1933 (Linking)
VI  - 34
IP  - 3
DP  - 2015 Dec
TI  - Quantitative risk assessment of the likeihood of introducing porcine reproductive 
      and respiratory syndrome virus into New Zealand through the importation of pig 
      meat.
PG  - 961-75
AB  - A quantitative model was developed to estimate the likelihood of an incursion of 
      porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) into New Zealand 
      through the importation of fresh consumer-ready cuts of pig meat. A sensitivity 
      analysis of all the inputs used in this model illustrated the importance of 
      correctly modelling the available 'dose-response' data, and a mechanistic 
      Beta-Poisson model was shown to be the most appropriate method for this in the 
      authors' assessment. The output of this model predicts an average of 
      approximately 1,200 years between PRRSV introductions resulting in primary 
      infections in New Zealand. Given the uncertainties in the model, there is 95% 
      confidence that this time period ranges from 52 to 6,200 years. The values chosen 
      in this model are considered to provide a conservative estimate of the likelihood 
      of introducing PRRSV into New Zealand via the importation of fresh pork.
FAU - Cobb, S P
AU  - Cobb SP
FAU - Pharo, H
AU  - Pharo H
FAU - Stone, M
AU  - Stone M
FAU - Groenendaal, H
AU  - Groenendaal H
FAU - Zagmutt, F J
AU  - Zagmutt FJ
LA  - eng
PT  - Journal Article
PL  - France
TA  - Rev Sci Tech
JT  - Revue scientifique et technique (International Office of Epizootics)
JID - 8712301
SB  - IM
MH  - Animals
MH  - Commerce
MH  - Computer Simulation
MH  - Meat/*virology
MH  - Models, Biological
MH  - New Zealand/epidemiology
MH  - Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome/*transmission/virology
MH  - Porcine respiratory and reproductive syndrome virus/*physiology
MH  - Risk Factors
MH  - Swine
EDAT- 2016/04/06 06:00
MHDA- 2016/05/06 06:00
CRDT- 2016/04/06 06:00
PHST- 2016/04/06 06:00 [entrez]
PHST- 2016/04/06 06:00 [pubmed]
PHST- 2016/05/06 06:00 [medline]
AID - 10.20506/rst.34.3.2409 [doi]
PST - ppublish
SO  - Rev Sci Tech. 2015 Dec;34(3):961-75. doi: 10.20506/rst.34.3.2409.