PMID- 27333083 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20170525 LR - 20180102 IS - 1938-5404 (Electronic) IS - 0033-7587 (Linking) VI - 186 IP - 1 DP - 2016 Jul TI - Simulating Space Radiation-Induced Breast Tumor Incidence Using Automata. PG - 27-38 LID - 10.1667/RR14338.1 [doi] AB - Estimating cancer risk from space radiation has been an ongoing challenge for decades primarily because most of the reported epidemiological data on radiation-induced risks are derived from studies of atomic bomb survivors who were exposed to an acute dose of gamma rays instead of chronic high-LET cosmic radiation. In this study, we introduce a formalism using cellular automata to model the long-term effects of ionizing radiation in human breast for different radiation qualities. We first validated and tuned parameters for an automata-based two-stage clonal expansion model simulating the age dependence of spontaneous breast cancer incidence in an unexposed U.S. POPULATION: We then tested the impact of radiation perturbation in the model by modifying parameters to reflect both targeted and nontargeted radiation effects. Targeted effects (TE) reflect the immediate impact of radiation on a cell's DNA with classic end points being gene mutations and cell death. They are well known and are directly derived from experimental data. In contrast, nontargeted effects (NTE) are persistent and affect both damaged and undamaged cells, are nonlinear with dose and are not well characterized in the literature. In this study, we introduced TE in our model and compared predictions against epidemiologic data of the atomic bomb survivor cohort. TE alone are not sufficient for inducing enough cancer. NTE independent of dose and lasting approximately 100 days postirradiation need to be added to accurately predict dose dependence of breast cancer induced by gamma rays. Finally, by integrating experimental relative biological effectiveness (RBE) for TE and keeping NTE (i.e., radiation-induced genomic instability) constant with dose and LET, the model predicts that RBE for breast cancer induced by cosmic radiation would be maximum at 220 keV/mum. This approach lays the groundwork for further investigation into the impact of chronic low-dose exposure, inter-individual variation and more complex space radiation scenarios. FAU - Heuskin, A C AU - Heuskin AC AD - a Life Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California. AD - c NAmur Research Institute for Life Sciences (NARILIS), Research Center for the Physics of Matter and Radiation (PMR), University of Namur, Namur, Belgium. FAU - Osseiran, A I AU - Osseiran AI AD - a Life Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California. FAU - Tang, J AU - Tang J AD - b Exogen Biotechnology Inc., Berkeley, California. FAU - Costes, S V AU - Costes SV AD - a Life Sciences Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, California. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PT - Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S. DEP - 20160622 PL - United States TA - Radiat Res JT - Radiation research JID - 0401245 SB - IM MH - Breast Neoplasms/*etiology/genetics/*pathology MH - Cosmic Radiation/adverse effects MH - *Extraterrestrial Environment MH - Humans MH - Incidence MH - Linear Energy Transfer MH - *Models, Biological MH - Mutation Rate MH - Neoplasms, Radiation-Induced/*etiology/genetics/*pathology MH - Relative Biological Effectiveness MH - Risk Assessment EDAT- 2016/06/23 06:00 MHDA- 2017/05/26 06:00 CRDT- 2016/06/23 06:00 PHST- 2016/06/23 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2016/06/23 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2017/05/26 06:00 [medline] AID - 10.1667/RR14338.1 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Radiat Res. 2016 Jul;186(1):27-38. doi: 10.1667/RR14338.1. Epub 2016 Jun 22.