PMID- 27494625 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20170106 LR - 20190518 IS - 0261-1929 (Print) IS - 0261-1929 (Linking) VI - 44 IP - 3 DP - 2016 Jul TI - Evaluation of non-animal methods for assessing skin sensitisation hazard: A Bayesian Value-of-Information analysis. PG - 255-69 AB - This paper offers a Bayesian Value-of-Information (VOI) analysis for guiding the development of non-animal testing strategies, balancing information gains from testing with the expected social gains and costs from the adoption of regulatory decisions. Testing is assumed to have value, if, and only if, the information revealed from testing triggers a welfare-improving decision on the use (or non-use) of a substance. As an illustration, our VOI model is applied to a set of five individual non-animal prediction methods used for skin sensitisation hazard assessment, seven battery combinations of these methods, and 236 sequential 2-test and 3-test strategies. Their expected values are quantified and compared to the expected value of the local lymph node assay (LLNA) as the animal method. We find that battery and sequential combinations of non-animal prediction methods reveal a significantly higher expected value than the LLNA. This holds for the entire range of prior beliefs. Furthermore, our results illustrate that the testing strategy with the highest expected value does not necessarily have to follow the order of key events in the sensitisation adverse outcome pathway (AOP). CI - 2016 FRAME. FAU - Leontaridou, Maria AU - Leontaridou M AD - Wageningen University, Environmental Economics and Natural Resources Group, Wageningen, The Netherlands and BASF SE, Experimental Toxicology and Ecology, Ludwigshafen, Germany. FAU - Gabbert, Silke AU - Gabbert S AD - Wageningen University, Environmental Economics and Natural Resources Group, Wageningen, The Netherlands. FAU - Van Ierland, Ekko C AU - Van Ierland EC AD - Wageningen University, Environmental Economics and Natural Resources Group, Wageningen, The Netherlands. FAU - Worth, Andrew P AU - Worth AP AD - European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Directorate F - Health, Consumer and Reference Materials, EURL ECVAM, Ispra, Italy. FAU - Landsiedel, Robert AU - Landsiedel R AD - BASF SE, Experimental Toxicology and Ecology, Ludwigshafen, Germany. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PL - England TA - Altern Lab Anim JT - Alternatives to laboratory animals : ATLA JID - 8110074 RN - 0 (Cosmetics) RN - 0 (Dermatologic Agents) SB - IM MH - Animal Testing Alternatives/*methods MH - Animals MH - Bayes Theorem MH - Cosmetics/*toxicity MH - Databases, Factual MH - *Dermatitis, Contact MH - Dermatologic Agents/*toxicity EDAT- 2016/08/06 06:00 MHDA- 2017/01/07 06:00 CRDT- 2016/08/06 06:00 PHST- 2016/08/06 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2016/08/06 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2017/01/07 06:00 [medline] AID - 10.1177/026119291604400309 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Altern Lab Anim. 2016 Jul;44(3):255-69. doi: 10.1177/026119291604400309.