PMID- 27840592 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20240331 IS - 1524-9050 (Print) IS - 1558-0016 (Electronic) IS - 1524-9050 (Linking) VI - 18 IP - 3 DP - 2017 Mar TI - Accelerated Evaluation of Automated Vehicles Safety in Lane-Change Scenarios Based on Importance Sampling Techniques. PG - 595-607 LID - 10.1109/TITS.2016.2582208 [doi] AB - Automated vehicles (AVs) must be thoroughly evaluated before their release and deployment. A widely used evaluation approach is the Naturalistic-Field Operational Test (N-FOT), which tests prototype vehicles directly on the public roads. Due to the low exposure to safety-critical scenarios, N-FOTs are time consuming and expensive to conduct. In this paper, we propose an accelerated evaluation approach for AVs. The results can be used to generate motions of the other primary vehicles to accelerate the verification of AVs in simulations and controlled experiments. Frontal collision due to unsafe cut-ins is the target crash type of this paper. Human-controlled vehicles making unsafe lane changes are modeled as the primary disturbance to AVs based on data collected by the University of Michigan Safety Pilot Model Deployment Program. The cut-in scenarios are generated based on skewed statistics of collected human driver behaviors, which generate risky testing scenarios while preserving the statistical information so that the safety benefits of AVs in nonaccelerated cases can be accurately estimated. The cross-entropy method is used to recursively search for the optimal skewing parameters. The frequencies of the occurrences of conflicts, crashes, and injuries are estimated for a modeled AV, and the achieved accelerated rate is around 2000 to 20 000. In other words, in the accelerated simulations, driving for 1000 miles will expose the AV with challenging scenarios that will take about 2 to 20 million miles of real-world driving to encounter. This technique thus has the potential to greatly reduce the development and validation time for AVs. FAU - Zhao, Ding AU - Zhao D AD - University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor, MI 481099 USA. FAU - Lam, Henry AU - Lam H AD - Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA. FAU - Peng, Huei AU - Peng H AD - Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA. FAU - Bao, Shan AU - Bao S AD - University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor, MI 481099 USA. FAU - LeBlanc, David J AU - LeBlanc DJ AD - University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor, MI 481099 USA. FAU - Nobukawa, Kazutoshi AU - Nobukawa K AD - University of Michigan Transportation Research Institute, Ann Arbor, MI 481099 USA. FAU - Pan, Christopher S AU - Pan CS AD - Division of Safety Research, National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Morgantown, WV 26505 USA. LA - eng GR - CC999999/Intramural CDC HHS/United States PT - Journal Article DEP - 20160805 PL - United States TA - IEEE trans Intell Transp Syst JT - IEEE transactions on intelligent transportation systems : a publication of the IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Council JID - 101213161 PMC - PMC5103645 MID - NIHMS822789 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Active safety systems OT - automated vehicles (AVs) OT - autonomous emergency braking (AEB) OT - crash avoidance OT - importance sampling (IS) OT - lane change EDAT- 2016/11/15 06:00 MHDA- 2016/11/15 06:01 PMCR- 2017/02/05 CRDT- 2016/11/15 06:00 PHST- 2016/11/15 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2016/11/15 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2016/11/15 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2017/02/05 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1109/TITS.2016.2582208 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - IEEE trans Intell Transp Syst. 2017 Mar;18(3):595-607. doi: 10.1109/TITS.2016.2582208. Epub 2016 Aug 5.