PMID- 28146018 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190611 LR - 20220409 IS - 1528-1159 (Electronic) IS - 0362-2436 (Linking) VI - 42 IP - 17 DP - 2017 Sep 1 TI - Need for Two-Year Patient-Reported Outcomes Score for Lumbar Spine Surgery Is Procedure-Specific: Analysis From a Prospective Longitudinal Spine Registry. PG - 1331-1338 LID - 10.1097/BRS.0000000000002087 [doi] AB - STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine whether 1-year patient-reported outcomes (PROs) can accurately assess effective care for patients undergoing surgery for degenerative lumbar spine disease. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Prospective longitudinal PROs registries provide a means to accurately assess outcomes and determine the relative effectiveness of various spine treatments. Obtaining long-term PROs can be costly and challenging. METHODS: Patients enrolled into a prospective registry who underwent lumbar spine surgery for degenerative disease were included. Baseline, 1-year, and 2-year Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) scores were captured. Previously published minimum clinically important difference (MCID) for ODI (14.9) was used. Multivariable linear regression model was created to derive model-estimated 2-year ODI scores. Absolute differences between 1-year and 2-year ODI were compared to absolute differences between 2-year and model-estimated 2-year ODI. Concordance rates in achieving MCID at 1-year and 2-year and predictive values were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 868 patients were analyzed. One-year ODI scores differed from 2-year scores by an absolute difference of 9.7 +/- 8.9 points and predictive model-estimated 2-year scores differed from actual 2-year scores by 8.8 +/- 7.3 points. The model-estimated 2-year ODI was significantly different than actual 1-year ODI in assessing actual 2-year ODI for all procedures (P = 0.001) except for primary (P = 0.932) and revision microdiscectomy (P = 0.978) and primary laminectomy (P = 0.267). The discordance rates of achieving or not achieving MCID for ODI ranged from 8% to 27%. Concordance rate was about 90% for primary and revision microdiscectomy. The positive and negative predictive value of 1-year ODI to predict 2-year ODI was 83% and 67% for all procedures and 92% and 67% for primary and 100% and 86% for revision microdiscectomy respectively. CONCLUSION: One-year disability outcomes can potentially estimate 2-year outcomes for patient populations, but cannot reliably predict 2-year outcomes for individual patients, except for patients undergoing primary and revision microdiscectomy. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: 4. FAU - Kim, Elliott J AU - Kim EJ AD - Department of Orthopaedic Surgery and Department of Neurological Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN. FAU - Chotai, Silky AU - Chotai S AD - Department of Orthopaedic Surgery and Department of Neurological Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN. FAU - Archer, Kristin R AU - Archer KR AD - Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN. AD - Department of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN. FAU - Bydon, Mohamad AU - Bydon M AD - Department of Neurosurgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN. FAU - Asher, Anthony L AU - Asher AL AD - Department of Neurological Surgery, Carolina Neurosurgery and Spine Associates, Charlotte, NC. FAU - Devin, Clinton J AU - Devin CJ AD - Department of Orthopaedic Surgery and Department of Neurological Surgery, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PL - United States TA - Spine (Phila Pa 1976) JT - Spine JID - 7610646 SB - IM MH - Disability Evaluation MH - Health Care Surveys/*standards MH - Humans MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - Lumbar Vertebrae/*surgery MH - *Orthopedic Procedures/adverse effects/methods/statistics & numerical data MH - *Patient Reported Outcome Measures MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Time Factors MH - Treatment Outcome EDAT- 2017/02/02 06:00 MHDA- 2019/06/14 06:00 CRDT- 2017/02/02 06:00 PHST- 2017/02/02 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/06/14 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2017/02/02 06:00 [entrez] AID - 00007632-201709010-00016 [pii] AID - 10.1097/BRS.0000000000002087 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Spine (Phila Pa 1976). 2017 Sep 1;42(17):1331-1338. doi: 10.1097/BRS.0000000000002087.