PMID- 28583424 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20171023 LR - 20181202 IS - 1873-6009 (Electronic) IS - 0169-7722 (Linking) VI - 203 DP - 2017 Aug TI - Conservative strategy-based ensemble surrogate model for optimal groundwater remediation design at DNAPLs-contaminated sites. PG - 1-8 LID - S0169-7722(16)30298-4 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2017.05.007 [doi] AB - The surrogate-based simulation-optimization techniques are frequently used for optimal groundwater remediation design. When this technique is used, surrogate errors caused by surrogate-modeling uncertainty may lead to generation of infeasible designs. In this paper, a conservative strategy that pushes the optimal design into the feasible region was used to address surrogate-modeling uncertainty. In addition, chance-constrained programming (CCP) was adopted to compare with the conservative strategy in addressing this uncertainty. Three methods, multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP), Kriging (KRG) and support vector regression (SVR), were used to construct surrogate models for a time-consuming multi-phase flow model. To improve the performance of the surrogate model, ensemble surrogates were constructed based on combinations of different stand-alone surrogate models. The results show that: (1) the surrogate-modeling uncertainty was successfully addressed by the conservative strategy, which means that this method is promising for addressing surrogate-modeling uncertainty. (2) The ensemble surrogate model that combines MGGP with KRG showed the most favorable performance, which indicates that this ensemble surrogate can utilize both stand-alone surrogate models to improve the performance of the surrogate model. CI - Copyright (c) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. FAU - Ouyang, Qi AU - Ouyang Q AD - Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China; College of Environment and Resources, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China. FAU - Lu, Wenxi AU - Lu W AD - Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment, Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China; College of Environment and Resources, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China. Electronic address: luwenxi@jlu.edu.cn. FAU - Lin, Jin AU - Lin J AD - State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute, Nanjing 210029, PR China. FAU - Deng, Wenbing AU - Deng W AD - Cores and Samples Center of Land and Resources, China Geological Survey, Yanjiao 065201, PR China. FAU - Cheng, Weiguo AU - Cheng W AD - Shenyang Academy of Environmental Sciences, Shenyang 110000, PR China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20170531 PL - Netherlands TA - J Contam Hydrol JT - Journal of contaminant hydrology JID - 8805644 SB - IM MH - Environmental Restoration and Remediation/*methods MH - *Groundwater/chemistry MH - *Models, Theoretical MH - Software MH - Spatial Analysis MH - Uncertainty MH - *Water Pollution, Chemical OTO - NOTNLM OT - Conservative strategy OT - Groundwater remediation OT - Optimization OT - Surrogate OT - Uncertainty EDAT- 2017/06/07 06:00 MHDA- 2017/10/24 06:00 CRDT- 2017/06/07 06:00 PHST- 2016/11/22 00:00 [received] PHST- 2017/04/18 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2017/05/30 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2017/06/07 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2017/10/24 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2017/06/07 06:00 [entrez] AID - S0169-7722(16)30298-4 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2017.05.007 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Contam Hydrol. 2017 Aug;203:1-8. doi: 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2017.05.007. Epub 2017 May 31.