PMID- 28695611 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20181102 LR - 20210109 IS - 1399-5448 (Electronic) IS - 1399-543X (Print) IS - 1399-543X (Linking) VI - 19 IP - 2 DP - 2018 Mar TI - Prediction of type 1 diabetes using a genetic risk model in the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young. PG - 277-283 LID - 10.1111/pedi.12543 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Genetic predisposition for type 1 diabetes (T1D) is largely determined by human leukocyte antigen (HLA) genes; however, over 50 other genetic regions confer susceptibility. We evaluated a previously reported 10-factor weighted model derived from the Type 1 Diabetes Genetics Consortium to predict the development of diabetes in the Diabetes Autoimmunity Study in the Young (DAISY) prospective cohort. Performance of the model, derived from individuals with first-degree relatives (FDR) with T1D, was evaluated in DAISY general population (GP) participants as well as FDR subjects. METHODS: The 10-factor weighted risk model (HLA, PTPN22 , INS , IL2RA , ERBB3 , ORMDL3 , BACH2 , IL27 , GLIS3 , RNLS ), 3-factor model (HLA, PTPN22, INS ), and HLA alone were compared for the prediction of diabetes in children with complete SNP data (n = 1941). RESULTS: Stratification by risk score significantly predicted progression to diabetes by Kaplan-Meier analysis (GP: P = .00006; FDR: P = .0022). The 10-factor model performed better in discriminating diabetes outcome than HLA alone (GP, P = .03; FDR, P = .01). In GP, the restricted 3-factor model was superior to HLA (P = .03), but not different from the 10-factor model (P = .22). In contrast, for FDR the 3-factor model did not show improvement over HLA (P = .12) and performed worse than the 10-factor model (P = .02) CONCLUSIONS: We have shown a 10-factor risk model predicts development of diabetes in both GP and FDR children. While this model was superior to a minimal model in FDR, it did not confer improvement in GP. Differences in model performance in FDR vs GP children may lead to important insights into screening strategies specific to these groups. CI - (c) 2017 John Wiley & Sons A/S. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. FAU - Frohnert, Brigitte I AU - Frohnert BI AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-6636-4048 AD - Barbara Davis Center for Childhood Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado. FAU - Laimighofer, Michael AU - Laimighofer M AD - Institute of Computational Biology, Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Munchen-Neuherberg, Germany. FAU - Krumsiek, Jan AU - Krumsiek J AD - Institute of Computational Biology, Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Munchen-Neuherberg, Germany. AD - German Center for Diabetes Research (DZD), Munchen-Neuherberg, Germany. FAU - Theis, Fabian J AU - Theis FJ AD - Institute of Computational Biology, Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Munchen-Neuherberg, Germany. FAU - Winkler, Christiane AU - Winkler C AD - Institute of Diabetes Research, Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen and Forschergruppe Diabetes, Klinikum rechts der Isar, Technische, Universitat Munchen, Neuherberg, Germany. FAU - Norris, Jill M AU - Norris JM AD - Department of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado. FAU - Ziegler, Anette-Gabriele AU - Ziegler AG AD - Institute of Diabetes Research, Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen and Forschergruppe Diabetes, Klinikum rechts der Isar, Technische, Universitat Munchen, Neuherberg, Germany. FAU - Rewers, Marian J AU - Rewers MJ AD - Barbara Davis Center for Childhood Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado. FAU - Steck, Andrea K AU - Steck AK AD - Barbara Davis Center for Childhood Diabetes, School of Medicine, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado. LA - eng GR - P30 DK057516/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States GR - R01 DK032083/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States GR - R37 DK032493/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States GR - U01 DK062418/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States GR - R01 DK049654/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States GR - R01 DK032493/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States GR - K12 DK094712/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States GR - WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom PT - Comparative Study PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20170711 PL - Denmark TA - Pediatr Diabetes JT - Pediatric diabetes JID - 100939345 RN - 0 (Autoantibodies) RN - 0 (HLA-D Antigens) RN - 0 (Insulin) RN - EC 3.1.3.48 (PTPN22 protein, human) RN - EC 3.1.3.48 (Protein Tyrosine Phosphatase, Non-Receptor Type 22) SB - IM MH - Autoantibodies/analysis MH - *Autoimmunity MH - Child MH - Child, Preschool MH - Cohort Studies MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/blood/*genetics/immunology MH - Discriminant Analysis MH - Disease-Free Survival MH - Family Health MH - Female MH - *Genetic Predisposition to Disease MH - HLA-D Antigens/chemistry/*genetics MH - Humans MH - Infant MH - Insulin/chemistry/genetics MH - Kaplan-Meier Estimate MH - Longitudinal Studies MH - Male MH - *Models, Genetic MH - *Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide MH - Prospective Studies MH - Protein Tyrosine Phosphatase, Non-Receptor Type 22/chemistry/genetics PMC - PMC5764829 MID - NIHMS901955 OTO - NOTNLM OT - child OT - diabetes mellitus OT - epidemiology OT - prospective study OT - risk factors OT - type 1 EDAT- 2017/07/12 06:00 MHDA- 2018/11/06 06:00 PMCR- 2019/03/01 CRDT- 2017/07/12 06:00 PHST- 2016/11/23 00:00 [received] PHST- 2017/04/24 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2017/04/25 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2017/07/12 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2018/11/06 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2017/07/12 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/03/01 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1111/pedi.12543 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Pediatr Diabetes. 2018 Mar;19(2):277-283. doi: 10.1111/pedi.12543. Epub 2017 Jul 11.