PMID- 28964672 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20180827 LR - 20180827 IS - 1878-0210 (Electronic) IS - 1878-0210 (Linking) VI - 12 IP - 1 DP - 2018 Feb TI - Predictors of undiagnosed prevalent type 2 diabetes - The Danish General Suburban Population Study. PG - 13-22 LID - S1751-9918(17)30140-7 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.pcd.2017.08.005 [doi] AB - AIMS: To investigate how self-reported risk factors (including socioeconomic status) predict undiagnosed, prevalent type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). To externally validate Leicester Risk Assessment Score (LRAS), Finnish Diabetes Risk Score (FINDRISC) and Danish Diabetes Risk Score (DDRS), and to investigate how these predict a European Heart SCORE>/=5% in a Danish population study. METHODS: We included 21,205 adults from the Danish General Suburban Population Study. We used relative importance calculations of self-reported variables in prediction of undiagnosed T2DM. We externally validated established prediction models reporting ROC-curves for undiagnosed T2DM, pre-diabetes and SCORE. RESULTS: More than 20% of people with T2DM were undiagnosed. The 7 most important self-rated predictors in sequential order were high BMI, antihypertensive-therapy, age, cardiovascular disease, waist-circumference, fitness compared to peers and family disposition for T2DM. The Area Under the Curve for prediction of undiagnosed T2DM was 77.1 for LRAS; 75.4 for DDRS and 67.9 for FINDRISC. AUCs for SCORE was 75.1 for LRAS; 62.3 for DDRS and 54.3 for FINDRISC. CONCLUSIONS: BMI and self-reported cardiovascular disease are important risk factors for undiagnosed T2DM. LRAS performed better than DDRS and FINDRISC in prediction of undiagnosed T2DM and SCORE>/=5%. SCORE performed best in predicting pre-diabetes. CI - Copyright (c) 2017 Primary Care Diabetes Europe. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. FAU - Heltberg, Andreas AU - Heltberg A AD - Section of General Practice, Department of Public Health and Research Unit for General Practice, University of Copenhagen, Denmark. Electronic address: anhe@sund.ku.dk. FAU - Andersen, John Sahl AU - Andersen JS AD - Section of General Practice, Department of Public Health and Research Unit for General Practice, University of Copenhagen, Denmark. FAU - Sandholdt, Hakon AU - Sandholdt H AD - Section of General Practice, Department of Public Health and Research Unit for General Practice, University of Copenhagen, Denmark. FAU - Siersma, Volkert AU - Siersma V AD - Section of General Practice, Department of Public Health and Research Unit for General Practice, University of Copenhagen, Denmark. FAU - Kragstrup, Jakob AU - Kragstrup J AD - Section of General Practice, Department of Public Health and Research Unit for General Practice, University of Copenhagen, Denmark. FAU - Ellervik, Christina AU - Ellervik C AD - Department of Production, Research, and Innovation, Region Zealand, Soro, Denmark; Department of Laboratory Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital & Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Denmark. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20170928 PL - England TA - Prim Care Diabetes JT - Primary care diabetes JID - 101463825 RN - 0 (Antihypertensive Agents) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Age Factors MH - Aged MH - Aged, 80 and over MH - Antihypertensive Agents/therapeutic use MH - Area Under Curve MH - Blood Pressure/drug effects MH - Body Mass Index MH - Comorbidity MH - Cross-Sectional Studies MH - Denmark/epidemiology MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/diagnosis/*epidemiology MH - Educational Status MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Hypertension/diagnosis/drug therapy/epidemiology/physiopathology MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Obesity/diagnosis/epidemiology MH - Physical Fitness MH - Prediabetic State/diagnosis/*epidemiology MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Prevalence MH - ROC Curve MH - Risk Assessment MH - Risk Factors MH - *Self Report MH - Social Class MH - *Socioeconomic Factors MH - *Suburban Health MH - Waist Circumference MH - Young Adult OTO - NOTNLM OT - Fitness OT - Self assessment OT - Socioeconomic status OT - Undiagnosed diabetes EDAT- 2017/10/02 06:00 MHDA- 2018/08/28 06:00 CRDT- 2017/10/02 06:00 PHST- 2017/03/23 00:00 [received] PHST- 2017/08/26 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2017/08/29 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2017/10/02 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2018/08/28 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2017/10/02 06:00 [entrez] AID - S1751-9918(17)30140-7 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.pcd.2017.08.005 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Prim Care Diabetes. 2018 Feb;12(1):13-22. doi: 10.1016/j.pcd.2017.08.005. Epub 2017 Sep 28.