PMID- 29081472 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190603 LR - 20190603 IS - 1347-4820 (Electronic) IS - 1346-9843 (Linking) VI - 82 IP - 3 DP - 2018 Feb 23 TI - Early Prediction Model for Successful Bridge to Recovery in Patients With Fulminant Myocarditis Supported With Percutaneous Venoarterial Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation - Insights From the CHANGE PUMP Study. PG - 699-707 LID - 10.1253/circj.CJ-17-0549 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Cardiac recovery and prevention of end-organ damage are the cornerstones of establishing successful bridge to recovery (BTR) in patients with fulminant myocarditis (FM) supported with percutaneous venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO). However, the timing and method of successful BTR prediction still remain unclear. We aimed to develop a prediction model for successful BTR in patients with FM supported with percutaneous VA-ECMO.Methods and Results:This was a retrospective multicenter chart review enrolling 99 patients (52+/-16 years; female, 42%) with FM treated with percutaneous VA-ECMO. The S-group comprised patients who experienced percutaneous VA-ECMO decannulation and subsequent discharge (n=46), and the F-group comprised patients who either died in hospital or required conversion to other forms of mechanical circulatory support (n=53). At VA-ECMO initiation (0-h), the S-group had significantly higher left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and lower aspartate aminotransferase (AST) concentration than the F-group. At 48 h, the LVEF, increase in the LVEF, and reduction of AST from 0-h were identified as independent predictors in the S-group. Finally, we developed an S-group prediction model comprising these 3 variables (area under the curve, 0.844; 95% confidence interval, 0.745-0.944). CONCLUSIONS: We developed a model for use 48 h after VA-ECMO initiation to predict successful BTR in patients with FM. FAU - Sawamura, Akinori AU - Sawamura A AD - Department of Cardiology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine. FAU - Okumura, Takahiro AU - Okumura T AD - Department of Cardiology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine. FAU - Hirakawa, Akihiro AU - Hirakawa A AD - Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo. FAU - Ito, Masaaki AU - Ito M AD - Department of Cardiology and Nephrology, Mie University Graduate School of Medicine. FAU - Ozaki, Yukio AU - Ozaki Y AD - Department of Cardiology, Fujita Health University. FAU - Ohte, Nobuyuki AU - Ohte N AD - Department of Cardio-Renal Medicine and Hypertension, Nagoya City University Graduate School of Medical Sciences. FAU - Amano, Tetsuya AU - Amano T AD - Department of Cardiology, Aichi Medical University Hospital. FAU - Murohara, Toyoaki AU - Murohara T AD - Department of Cardiology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine. CN - CHANGE PUMP Investigators LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Multicenter Study DEP - 20171027 PL - Japan TA - Circ J JT - Circulation journal : official journal of the Japanese Circulation Society JID - 101137683 RN - EC 2.6.1.1 (Aspartate Aminotransferases) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Area Under Curve MH - Aspartate Aminotransferases/analysis MH - Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation/*methods MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Myocarditis/*diagnosis/therapy MH - Predictive Value of Tests MH - Prognosis MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Stroke Volume OTO - NOTNLM OT - Bridge to recovery OT - Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation OT - Fulminant myocarditis OT - Mechanical circulatory support OT - Prediction model EDAT- 2017/10/31 06:00 MHDA- 2019/06/04 06:00 CRDT- 2017/10/31 06:00 PHST- 2017/10/31 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/06/04 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2017/10/31 06:00 [entrez] AID - 10.1253/circj.CJ-17-0549 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Circ J. 2018 Feb 23;82(3):699-707. doi: 10.1253/circj.CJ-17-0549. Epub 2017 Oct 27.