PMID- 29204297 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20220311 IS - 2090-2654 (Print) IS - 2090-2662 (Electronic) IS - 2090-2654 (Linking) VI - 2017 DP - 2017 TI - Which Environmental Factor Is Correlated with Long-Term Multiple Sclerosis Incidence Trends: Ultraviolet B Radiation or Geomagnetic Disturbances? PG - 4960386 LID - 10.1155/2017/4960386 [doi] LID - 4960386 AB - BACKGROUND: Insufficient received ultraviolet B radiation (UV) is regarded as the main environmental risk factor (RF) for MS in vitamin D deficiency hypothesis. Nevertheless, geomagnetic disturbance (GMD) has also been proposed as a potential trigger for MS in GMD hypothesis. The aim of this study was to investigate which of these mentioned RF is correlated with long-term ultradecadal MS incidence. METHODS: After a systematic search, long-term incidence reports of the United Kingdom (UK), Denmark, Tayside County, Nordland County, the Orkney, and Shetland Islands were selected for this retrospective time-series study. Possible lead-lag relationships between MS incidence, GMD, and UV were evaluated by cross-correlation analysis. RESULTS: Significant positive correlations between GMD and MS incidence were seen in Tayside County (at lag of 2 years: r(S) = 0.38), Denmark (peak correlation at lag of 2 years: r(S) = 0.53), and UK (at lag of 1 year: r(S) = 0.50). We found a positive correlation between received UV and MS incidences in the Nordland at lag of 1 year (r(S) = 0.49). CONCLUSION: This study found significant positive correlations between alterations in GMD with alterations in long-term MS incidence in three out of six studied locations and supports the GMD hypothesis. The observed significant correlation between MS and UV is positive; hence it is not supportive for UV related vitamin D deficiency hypothesis. FAU - Sajedi, Seyed Aidin AU - Sajedi SA AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-6704-9787 AD - Neuroscience Research Center, Faculty of Medicine, Golestan University of Medical Sciences, Gorgan, Iran. AD - Department of Neurology, Sayyad Shirazi Hospital, Golestan University of Medical Sciences, Gorgan, Iran. AD - Multiple Sclerosis Center, Golestan Hospital, Ahvaz, Iran. FAU - Abdollahi, Fahimeh AU - Abdollahi F AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-9226-3710 AD - Department of Internal Medicine, Sayyad Shirazi Hospital, Golestan University of Medical Sciences, Gorgan, Iran. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20171024 PL - Egypt TA - Mult Scler Int JT - Multiple sclerosis international JID - 101566861 PMC - PMC5674510 EDAT- 2017/12/06 06:00 MHDA- 2017/12/06 06:01 PMCR- 2017/10/24 CRDT- 2017/12/06 06:00 PHST- 2017/04/11 00:00 [received] PHST- 2017/08/20 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2017/08/30 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2017/12/06 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2017/12/06 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2017/12/06 06:01 [medline] PHST- 2017/10/24 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1155/2017/4960386 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Mult Scler Int. 2017;2017:4960386. doi: 10.1155/2017/4960386. Epub 2017 Oct 24.