PMID- 29661524 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190311 LR - 20190311 IS - 1573-2509 (Electronic) IS - 0920-9964 (Linking) VI - 199 DP - 2018 Sep TI - Expressed emotion as a predictor of the first psychotic episode - Results of the European prediction of psychosis study. PG - 346-352 LID - S0920-9964(18)30171-3 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.schres.2018.03.019 [doi] AB - OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of expressed emotion (EE) on the risk of developing the first psychotic episode (FEP). METHOD: The European Prediction of Psychosis Study (EPOS) investigated 245 patients who were at clinical high risk (CHR) of psychosis. The predictive value of EE alone and as a part of the multivariate EPOS model was evaluated. RESULTS: "Perceived irritability", a domain of the Level of Expressed Emotion Scale (LEE), was found to be predictive for the First Psychotic Episode (FEP), even as an individual variable. Furthermore, it was selected in the multivariate EPOS prediction model, thereby replacing two of the original predictor variables. This led to an improved revised version that enabled the identification of three significantly different risk classes with a hazard rate of up to 0.911. CONCLUSIONS: CHR subjects who perceive the most important person in their individual social environment to be limited in their stress coping skills had a higher risk of conversion to the first psychotic episode. The importance of this risk factor was further demonstrated by an improvement of risk estimation in the original EPOS predictor model. Perceiving a reference person as stress-prone and thus potentially unreliable might amplify self-experienced uncertainty and anxiety, which are often associated with the prodromal phase. Such an enforcement of stress-related processes could promote a conversion to psychosis. CI - Copyright (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. FAU - Haidl, Theresa AU - Haidl T AD - Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50934 Cologne, Germany. FAU - Rosen, Marlene AU - Rosen M AD - Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50934 Cologne, Germany. FAU - Schultze-Lutter, Frauke AU - Schultze-Lutter F AD - University Hospital of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Bern, Effingerstrasse 14a, 3011 Bern, Switzerland; Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Medical Faculty, Heinrich-Heine University, Bergische Landstrasse 2, 40629 Dusseldorf, Germany. FAU - Nieman, Dorien AU - Nieman D AD - Department of Psychiatry, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Meibergdreef 5, 1105 AZ Amsterdam-Zuidoost, Netherlands. FAU - Eggers, Susanne AU - Eggers S AD - Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50934 Cologne, Germany. FAU - Heinimaa, Markus AU - Heinimaa M AD - Department of Psychiatry, University of Turku, Kiinamyllynkatu 4-8, Rakennus 11B, 20520 Turku, Finland. FAU - Juckel, Georg AU - Juckel G AD - Department of Psychiatry, Psychotherapy, and Preventive Medicine, Ruhr University Bochum, Alexandrinenstrasse 1, 344791 Bochum, Germany. FAU - Heinz, Andreas AU - Heinz A AD - Division of Mind and Brain Research, Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, Charite, Campus Mitte, Chariteplatz 1, 10117 Berlin, Germany. FAU - Morrison, Anthony AU - Morrison A AD - School of Psychological Sciences, University of Manchester, Oxford Rd, Manchester M13 9PL, United Kingdom. FAU - Linszen, Don AU - Linszen D AD - Department of Psychiatry, Academic Medical Center, University of Amsterdam, Meibergdreef 5, 1105 AZ Amsterdam-Zuidoost, Netherlands; Department of Psychiatry and Psychology, Maastricht University, PO Box 616, 6200 MD Maastricht, Netherlands. FAU - Salokangas, Raimo AU - Salokangas R AD - Department of Psychiatry, University of Turku, Kiinamyllynkatu 4-8, Rakennus 11B, 20520 Turku, Finland. FAU - Klosterkotter, Joachim AU - Klosterkotter J AD - Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50934 Cologne, Germany. FAU - Birchwood, Max AU - Birchwood M AD - Mental Health and Wellbeing, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, United Kingdom. FAU - Patterson, Paul AU - Patterson P AD - Birmingham Children's Hospital, Steelhouse Ln, Birmingham B4 6NH, Birmingham, United Kingdom. FAU - Ruhrmann, Stephan AU - Ruhrmann S AD - Department of Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50934 Cologne, Germany. Electronic address: stephan.ruhrmann@uk-koeln.de. CN - European Prediction of Psychosis Study (EPOS) Group LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20180413 PL - Netherlands TA - Schizophr Res JT - Schizophrenia research JID - 8804207 SB - IM MH - *Expressed Emotion MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Male MH - Models, Psychological MH - Multivariate Analysis MH - Prodromal Symptoms MH - Prognosis MH - Proportional Hazards Models MH - Psychotic Disorders/*diagnosis/*psychology MH - Risk MH - Young Adult OTO - NOTNLM OT - COGDIS OT - First Psychotic Episode (FEP) OT - Level of Expressed Emotions (LEE) Scale OT - Prediction OT - Ultra-high risk EDAT- 2018/04/18 06:00 MHDA- 2019/03/12 06:00 CRDT- 2018/04/18 06:00 PHST- 2017/08/24 00:00 [received] PHST- 2018/03/06 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2018/03/12 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2018/04/18 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/03/12 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2018/04/18 06:00 [entrez] AID - S0920-9964(18)30171-3 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.schres.2018.03.019 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Schizophr Res. 2018 Sep;199:346-352. doi: 10.1016/j.schres.2018.03.019. Epub 2018 Apr 13.