PMID- 29909329 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190319 LR - 20190319 IS - 1879-1026 (Electronic) IS - 0048-9697 (Linking) VI - 642 DP - 2018 Nov 15 TI - Disentangling the relative role of climate change on tree growth in an extreme Mediterranean environment. PG - 619-628 LID - S0048-9697(18)32135-1 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.06.064 [doi] AB - Climate change can impair ecosystem functions and services in extensive dry forests worldwide. However, attribution of climate change impacts on tree growth and forest productivity is challenging due to multiple inter-annual patterns of climatic variability associated with atmospheric and oceanic circulations. Moreover, growth responses to rising atmospheric CO(2), namely carbon fertilization, as well as size ontogenetic changes can obscure the climate change signature as well. Here we apply Structural Equation Models (SEM) to investigate the relative role of climate change on tree growth in an extreme Mediterranean environment (i.e., extreme in terms of the combination of sandy-unconsolidated soils and climatic aridity). Specifically, we analyzed potential direct and indirect pathways by which different sources of climatic variability (i.e. warming and precipitation trends, the North Atlantic Oscillation, [NAO]; the Mediterranean Oscillation, [MOI]; the Atlantic Mediterranean Oscillation, [AMO]) affect aridity through their control on local climate (in terms of mean annual temperature and total annual precipitation), and subsequently tree productivity, in terms of basal area increments (BAI). Our results support the predominant role of Diameter at Breast Height (DHB) as the main growth driver. In terms of climate, NAO and AMO are the most important drivers of tree growth through their control of aridity (via effects of precipitation and temperature, respectively). Furthermore and contrary to current expectations, our findings also support a net positive role of climate warming on growth over the last 50 years and suggest that impacts of climate warming should be evaluated considering multi-annual and multi-decadal periods of local climate defined by atmospheric and oceanic circulation in the North Atlantic. CI - Copyright (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. FAU - Madrigal-Gonzalez, Jaime AU - Madrigal-Gonzalez J AD - Grupo de Ecologia y Restauracion Forestal, Departamento de Ciencias de la Vida, Universidad de Alcala, ctra. Madrid-Barcelona, km 33.4, 28805, Alcala de Henares, Spain; Climate Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for Environmental Sciences (IES), University of Geneva, 66 Boulevard Carl-Vogt, CH-1205, Switzerland. Electronic address: ecojmg@hotmail.com. FAU - Andivia, Enrique AU - Andivia E AD - Grupo de Ecologia y Restauracion Forestal, Departamento de Ciencias de la Vida, Universidad de Alcala, ctra. Madrid-Barcelona, km 33.4, 28805, Alcala de Henares, Spain. FAU - Zavala, Miguel A AU - Zavala MA AD - Grupo de Ecologia y Restauracion Forestal, Departamento de Ciencias de la Vida, Universidad de Alcala, ctra. Madrid-Barcelona, km 33.4, 28805, Alcala de Henares, Spain. FAU - Stoffel, Markus AU - Stoffel M AD - Climate Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for Environmental Sciences (IES), University of Geneva, 66 Boulevard Carl-Vogt, CH-1205, Switzerland; Dendrolab, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Geneva, rue des Maraichers 13, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland; Department F.-A, Forel for Aquatic and Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, 66 Boulevard Carl-Vogt, CH-1205, Switzerland. FAU - Calatayud, Joaquin AU - Calatayud J AD - Integrated Science Lab, Department of Physics, Umea University, 901 87 Umea, Sweden. FAU - Sanchez-Salguero, Raul AU - Sanchez-Salguero R AD - Departamento de Sistemas Fisicos, Quimicos y Naturales, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Ctra. Utrera, km 1, 41013 Sevilla, Spain. FAU - Ballesteros-Canovas, Juan AU - Ballesteros-Canovas J AD - Climate Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for Environmental Sciences (IES), University of Geneva, 66 Boulevard Carl-Vogt, CH-1205, Switzerland; Dendrolab, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Geneva, rue des Maraichers 13, CH-1205 Geneva, Switzerland. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20180614 PL - Netherlands TA - Sci Total Environ JT - The Science of the total environment JID - 0330500 SB - IM MH - *Climate Change MH - Ecosystem MH - *Forests MH - Mediterranean Region MH - Temperature MH - Trees/*growth & development OTO - NOTNLM OT - Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation OT - Dry forests OT - Mediterranean Oscillation Index OT - North Atlantic Oscillation OT - Pinus pinaster Ait OT - Tree growth EDAT- 2018/06/18 06:00 MHDA- 2019/03/20 06:00 CRDT- 2018/06/18 06:00 PHST- 2018/03/20 00:00 [received] PHST- 2018/06/05 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2018/06/06 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2018/06/18 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/03/20 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2018/06/18 06:00 [entrez] AID - S0048-9697(18)32135-1 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.06.064 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Sci Total Environ. 2018 Nov 15;642:619-628. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.06.064. Epub 2018 Jun 14.