PMID- 29974600 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190103 LR - 20190103 IS - 1447-0756 (Electronic) IS - 1341-8076 (Linking) VI - 44 IP - 9 DP - 2018 Sep TI - 47-Fold rise of diabetes in childbearing age Chilean women: Markov model and cost-effectiveness of prevention of birth defects. PG - 1719-1730 LID - 10.1111/jog.13712 [doi] AB - AIM: Prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) during childbearing age in Chile had a 47-fold rise in 7 years, reaching 120 844 women, half of which are unaware of their condition. We aimed to project pregnancies and births among Chilean women of childbearing age (WCBA) with T2DM and report the incidence of birth defects and the associated years of life lost and lifetime costs. METHODS: Markov model of cohort of WCBA with T2DM (WCBA-DM) with a 20-year time horizon (2018-2037), using data from previous studies. Two scenarios were assessed: scenario A: no universal detection of T2DM and scenario B: universal screening of T2DM using glycosylated hemoglobin levels. Both lifetime costs and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) were calculated with a 5% discount rate (US$ of 2017). RESULTS: In scenario A, 12 163 infants with birth defects could be born among the analyzed cohort, resulting in 243 260 years of life lost, 296 652 DALY and in lifetime costs of US$ 1 957 657 966. In scenario B, the first three figures could be reduced by 70.4% to 3599 infants with birth defects, 71 980 years of life lost and 87 794 DALY. Due to the addition of diabetes screening and new patient costs to scenario B, there would be a lesser reduction (67.3%) in total lifetime costs, to US$ 640 669 296. CONCLUSION: Screening of diabetes in WCBA would yield a 20-year reduction of 70.4% in the number of infants with birth defects, years of life lost and DALY. Total lifetime costs could be reduced by 67.3%. CI - (c) 2018 Japan Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology. FAU - Olmos, Pablo AU - Olmos P AD - First Center of Biomedical Engineering, College of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. AD - Trinidad Initiative, College of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. AD - Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, College of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. AD - Department of Nutrition, Diabetes and Metabolism, College of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. FAU - Borzone, Gisella AU - Borzone G AD - Department of Respiratory Diseases, College of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. FAU - Poblete, Andres AU - Poblete A AD - Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, College of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile, Santiago, Chile. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20180705 PL - Australia TA - J Obstet Gynaecol Res JT - The journal of obstetrics and gynaecology research JID - 9612761 SB - IM MH - Adolescent MH - Adult MH - Chile/epidemiology MH - Congenital Abnormalities/*epidemiology/*prevention & control MH - *Cost-Benefit Analysis MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/*epidemiology MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Markov Chains MH - *Mass Screening MH - Middle Aged MH - *Models, Statistical MH - Young Adult OTO - NOTNLM OT - Markov OT - diabetes OT - malformation OT - model OT - pregestational OT - prevention EDAT- 2018/07/06 06:00 MHDA- 2019/01/04 06:00 CRDT- 2018/07/06 06:00 PHST- 2017/10/18 00:00 [received] PHST- 2018/05/25 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2018/07/06 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/01/04 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2018/07/06 06:00 [entrez] AID - 10.1111/jog.13712 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Obstet Gynaecol Res. 2018 Sep;44(9):1719-1730. doi: 10.1111/jog.13712. Epub 2018 Jul 5.