PMID- 30415879 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190404 LR - 20190404 IS - 1873-6750 (Electronic) IS - 0160-4120 (Linking) VI - 121 IP - Pt 2 DP - 2018 Dec TI - Predicting human plasma concentrations of persistent organic pollutants from dietary intake and socio-demographic information in the Norwegian Women and Cancer study. PG - 1311-1318 LID - S0160-4120(18)31354-0 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.envint.2018.10.057 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: Concentrations of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) in humans are influenced by a large number of factors including birth year, reproductive history and diet. Accordingly, information on dietary habits and socio-demographic variables may predict plasma concentrations of POPs, thus enabling studies on health effects in large epidemiological studies, without performing time consuming and expensive chemical analyses on entire cohorts. AIMS: To develop and evaluate statistical models for predicting concentrations of POPs in participants of the Norwegian Women and Cancer (NOWAC) study, using questionnaire information and measured plasma POP concentrations. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Information on estimated dietary intakes and socio-demographic variables from four different questionnaires (in 1991, 1994, 2004 and 2005) were obtained from participants in the NOWAC study. We measured POP concentrations in a total of 367 blood samples from 2005 and built multivariable linear regression models for p,p'-DDE, PCB-118, -138, -153, -180 and summed PCB concentrations in one subsample (N = 259) and evaluated the models in another subsample (N = 108). Measured and predicted values were compared using correlation coefficients and inter-method agreement was evaluated using weighted Cohen's kappa for tertile categorization. RESULTS: Median POP concentrations in the population ranged from 13 ng/g lipid to 162 ng/g lipid (lowest for PCB-118 and highest for p,p'-DDE). Common predictors for all POPs were birth year, breastfeeding and the weight-related variables (BMI or weight change), whereas influential dietary variables differed and were of varying importance. The predicted plasma concentrations were significantly correlated with the measured values (r(s) = 0.24, 0.33, 0.41, 0.50, 0.56, and 0.54 for p,p'-DDE, PCB-118, -138, 153, -180 and summed PCBs, respectively). Tertiles of predicted plasma concentrations displayed significant, but varying agreement with measured concentrations (Weighted Cohen's kappa = 0.19, 0.22, 0.33, 0.42, 0.45, and 0.50 respectively). CONCLUSION: Predicted plasma concentrations of certain PCBs showed good precision (Kw > 0.4) when compared to measured concentrations. Thus, the models can be used to classify NOWAC participants into high, medium and low PCB exposure groups. CI - Copyright (c) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. FAU - Berg, Vivian AU - Berg V AD - Department of Medical Biology, Faculty of Health Sciences, UIT-The Arctic University of Norway, NO-9037 Tromso, Norway; Department of Laboratory Medicine, Division of Diagnostic Services, University Hospital of North-Norway, NO-9038 Tromso, Norway. Electronic address: Vivian.berg@uit.no. FAU - Nost, Therese Haugdahl AU - Nost TH AD - Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UIT-The Arctic University of Norway, NO-9037 Tromso, Norway. FAU - Sandanger, Torkjel Manning AU - Sandanger TM AD - Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UIT-The Arctic University of Norway, NO-9037 Tromso, Norway. FAU - Rylander, Charlotta AU - Rylander C AD - Department of Community Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, UIT-The Arctic University of Norway, NO-9037 Tromso, Norway. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20181109 PL - Netherlands TA - Environ Int JT - Environment international JID - 7807270 RN - 0 (Environmental Pollutants) RN - 0 (Insecticides) RN - 4M7FS82U08 (Dichlorodiphenyl Dichloroethylene) RN - DFC2HB4I0K (Polychlorinated Biphenyls) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Cohort Studies MH - Dichlorodiphenyl Dichloroethylene/*blood MH - Environmental Exposure/*analysis MH - Environmental Pollutants/*blood MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Insecticides/blood MH - Middle Aged MH - Models, Theoretical MH - Norway MH - Polychlorinated Biphenyls/*blood MH - Regression Analysis OTO - NOTNLM OT - Diet OT - Exposure OT - Lifestyle OT - Persistent organic pollutants OT - Regression models EDAT- 2018/11/13 06:00 MHDA- 2019/04/05 06:00 CRDT- 2018/11/13 06:00 PHST- 2018/06/26 00:00 [received] PHST- 2018/10/03 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2018/10/27 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2018/11/13 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/04/05 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2018/11/13 06:00 [entrez] AID - S0160-4120(18)31354-0 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.envint.2018.10.057 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Environ Int. 2018 Dec;121(Pt 2):1311-1318. doi: 10.1016/j.envint.2018.10.057. Epub 2018 Nov 9.