PMID- 30473787 OWN - NLM STAT- PubMed-not-MEDLINE LR - 20201001 IS - 2049-1573 (Print) IS - 2049-1573 (Electronic) IS - 2049-1573 (Linking) VI - 6 IP - 1 DP - 2017 TI - Bias and estimation under misspecification of the risk period in self-controlled case series studies. PG - 373-389 LID - 10.1002/sta4.166 [doi] AB - The self-controlled case series (SCCS) method is useful for estimating the relative incidence (RI) of acute events, such as adverse events (AEs) during a specified risk period following an exposure (e.g., 6-week period after vaccinations or 30-day period after infection-related hospitalizations). In practice, the "optimal" risk period is unknown and must be specified. To date, two approaches are available to guide the specification of the risk period. Both methods do not fully utilize the nature of the bias due to misspecification, which to date has not been characterized. Thus, we elucidate the bias of SCCS estimate of the RI when the risk period is misspecified. We then propose a novel method that more effectively estimates the optimal risk period and the associated RI of AEs. The new method incorporates information on the functional form of the bias. Efficacy of the proposed approach is illustrated with substantial reduction in bias and variance in simulation studies. The proposed method is illustrated with two SCCS studies to determine the (1) risk of idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura after measles-mumps-rubella vaccination in children and (2) risk of cardiovascular events after infection-related hospitalizations in older patients on dialysis. FAU - Campos, Luis Fernando AU - Campos LF AD - Department of Statistics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA. FAU - Senturk, Damla AU - Senturk D AD - Department of Biostatistics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA. FAU - Chen, Yanjun AU - Chen Y AD - Institute for Clinical and Translational Science, Irvine, CA 92617, USA. FAU - Nguyen, Danh V AU - Nguyen DV AD - Department of Medicine, University of California Irvine, Orange, CA 92868, USA. LA - eng GR - R01 DK092232/DK/NIDDK NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article DEP - 20171020 PL - United States TA - Stat (Int Stat Inst) JT - Stat (International Statistical Institute) JID - 101661793 PMC - PMC6249026 MID - NIHMS914901 OTO - NOTNLM OT - case series analysis OT - dialysis OT - idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura OT - infection OT - maximum likelihood OT - measles-mumps-rubella OT - non-homogeneous Poisson process OT - risk length OT - vaccination EDAT- 2017/01/01 00:00 MHDA- 2017/01/01 00:01 PMCR- 2018/11/21 CRDT- 2018/11/27 06:00 PHST- 2018/11/27 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2017/01/01 00:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2017/01/01 00:01 [medline] PHST- 2018/11/21 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1002/sta4.166 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Stat (Int Stat Inst). 2017;6(1):373-389. doi: 10.1002/sta4.166. Epub 2017 Oct 20.