PMID- 30506416 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190118 LR - 20190129 IS - 1573-2959 (Electronic) IS - 0167-6369 (Linking) VI - 191 IP - 1 DP - 2018 Dec 1 TI - Spatial dynamic assessment of health risks for urban river cruises. PG - 1 LID - 10.1007/s10661-018-7122-4 [doi] AB - River cruising ships move along river courses, and thus health risks to passengers may vary spatially due to the accidental exposure of river fecal pollution. This study performed a spatial dynamic assessment of health risks for river cruises in the highly urbanized Tamsui River Basin. First, the spatial distributions of river Escherichia coli (E. coli) were probabilistically characterized using indicator kriging (IK). Moreover, the current river cruise information was surveyed to obtain cruise routes and transit times. Then, to explore the parametric uncertainty of quantitative microbial risk assessment (QMRA), the ingestion rate (IR) for boating was determined using Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Moreover, river E. coli distributions were estimated using nonparametric MCS according to multi-threshold IK estimates. Eventually, after combining the distribution of the joint probability of the IR and E. coli in QMRA, the beta-Poisson dose-response function was adopted to analyze risks to river cruise passengers at discretized segments of cruise routes. Health risks to river cruise passengers were integrated at the discretized segments to explore suitable recreational strategies for river cruises. The research results indicate that all health risks do not exceed a daily target level of 8 illnesses per 1000 exposures for single-trip cruise routes. However, health risks to passengers can exceed this level for round-trip cruise routes along highly polluted urban river courses. FAU - Jang, Cheng-Shin AU - Jang CS AD - Department of Leisure and Recreation Management, Kainan University, Taoyuan City, 338, Taiwan. csjang@mail.knu.edu.tw. FAU - Liang, Ching-Ping AU - Liang CP AD - Department of Nursing, Fooyin University, Kaohsiung City, 831, Taiwan. FAU - Chen, Shih-Kai AU - Chen SK AD - Department of Civil Engineering, National Taipei University of Technology, Taipei City, 106, Taiwan. LA - eng GR - MOST 106-2410-H-424-020/Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20181201 PL - Netherlands TA - Environ Monit Assess JT - Environmental monitoring and assessment JID - 8508350 SB - IM MH - Environmental Monitoring/*methods MH - Escherichia coli/*isolation & purification MH - Feces MH - Humans MH - Probability MH - Risk Assessment/methods MH - Rivers/*microbiology MH - *Ships MH - Spatial Analysis OTO - NOTNLM OT - Escherichia coli OT - Indicator kriging OT - Monte Carlo simulation OT - Quantitative microbial risk assessment OT - River cruise OT - Uncertainty EDAT- 2018/12/07 06:00 MHDA- 2019/01/19 06:00 CRDT- 2018/12/04 06:00 PHST- 2018/07/19 00:00 [received] PHST- 2018/11/23 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2018/12/04 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2018/12/07 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/01/19 06:00 [medline] AID - 10.1007/s10661-018-7122-4 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s10661-018-7122-4 [doi] PST - epublish SO - Environ Monit Assess. 2018 Dec 1;191(1):1. doi: 10.1007/s10661-018-7122-4.