PMID- 30742060 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200824 LR - 20200824 IS - 2045-2322 (Electronic) IS - 2045-2322 (Linking) VI - 9 IP - 1 DP - 2019 Feb 11 TI - A new model for predicting intravenous immunoglobin-resistant Kawasaki disease in Chongqing: a retrospective study on 5277 patients. PG - 1722 LID - 10.1038/s41598-019-39330-y [doi] LID - 1722 AB - Accurate evaluation of individual risk of intravenous immunoglobin (IVIG)-resistance is critical for adopting regimens for the first treatment and prevention of coronary artery lesions (CALs) in patients with Kawasaki disease (KD). METHODS: The KD patients hospitalized in Chongqing Children's Hospital, in west China, from October 2007 to December 2017 were retrospectively reviewed. Data were collected and compared between IVIG-resistant group and IVIG-responsive group. The independent risk factors were determined using multivariate regression analysis. A new prediction model was built and compared with the previous models. RESULTS: A total of 5277 subjects were studied and eight independent risk factors were identified including higher red blood cell distribution width (RDW), lower platelet count (PLT), lower percentage of lymphocyte (P-LYM), higher total bile acid (TBA), lower albumin, lower serum sodium level, higher degree of CALs (D-CALs) and younger age. The new predictive model showed an AUC of 0.74, sensitivity of 76% and specificity of 59%. For individual's risk probability of IVIG-resistance, an equation was given. CONCLUSIONS: IVIG-resistance could be predicted by RDW, PLT, P-LYM, TBA, albumin, serum sodium level, D-CALs and age. The new model appeared to be superior to those previous models for KD population in Chongqing city. FAU - Tan, Xu-Hai AU - Tan XH AD - Department of Heart Centre, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, Chongqing, 400014, China. FAU - Zhang, Xiao-Wei AU - Zhang XW AD - Yidu Cloud (Beijing) Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing, 100101, China. FAU - Wang, Xiao-Yun AU - Wang XY AD - Yidu Cloud (Beijing) Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing, 100101, China. FAU - He, Xiang-Qian AU - He XQ AD - College of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China. FAU - Fan, Chu AU - Fan C AD - College of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, 400016, China. FAU - Lyu, Tie-Wei AU - Lyu TW AD - Department of Heart Centre, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, Chongqing, 400014, China. FAU - Tian, Jie AU - Tian J AD - Department of Heart Centre, Children's Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Child Development and Disorders, Chongqing, 400014, China. jietian@cqmu.edu.cn. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20190211 PL - England TA - Sci Rep JT - Scientific reports JID - 101563288 RN - 0 (Biomarkers) RN - 0 (Immunoglobulins, Intravenous) SB - IM MH - Biomarkers MH - China/epidemiology MH - *Drug Resistance MH - Humans MH - Immunoglobulins, Intravenous/administration & dosage/adverse effects/*therapeutic use MH - *Models, Theoretical MH - Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome/diagnosis/*drug therapy/*epidemiology MH - Odds Ratio MH - Prognosis MH - ROC Curve MH - Retrospective Studies MH - Severity of Illness Index MH - Treatment Outcome PMC - PMC6370794 COIS- The authors declare no competing interests. EDAT- 2019/02/12 06:00 MHDA- 2020/08/25 06:00 PMCR- 2019/02/11 CRDT- 2019/02/12 06:00 PHST- 2018/10/26 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/01/22 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/02/12 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/02/12 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/08/25 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/02/11 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1038/s41598-019-39330-y [pii] AID - 39330 [pii] AID - 10.1038/s41598-019-39330-y [doi] PST - epublish SO - Sci Rep. 2019 Feb 11;9(1):1722. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-39330-y.