PMID- 30848017 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200312 LR - 20200312 IS - 1753-0407 (Electronic) IS - 1753-0407 (Linking) VI - 11 IP - 10 DP - 2019 Oct TI - Prognosis for residual islet beta-cell secretion function in young patients with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes. PG - 818-825 LID - 10.1111/1753-0407.12912 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND: This study investigated possible predictors of residual islet beta-cell function (RBF) in young patients with newly diagnosed type 1 diabetes (T1D). METHODS: After analyzing RBF in 443 patients with T1D according to age at diagnosis and disease duration, 110 were followed-up over 18-60 months. A nomogram was developed by logistic regression to explore factors associated with long-term RBF. RESULTS: Of the 443 T1D patients (mean [+/-SD] age 20.28 +/- 5.50 years; mean [+/-SD] diabetes duration 28.5 +/- 14.6 months), RBF was preserved in 64.3%. Independent predictors for poor RBF outcome among the 110 patients in the follow-up cohort were age at onset (odds ratio [OR] 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.73-0.92; P < 0.001), high-risk human leukocyte antigen (HLA) status (OR 4.73; CI 1.28-17.52; P = 0.020), female sex (OR 3.39; CI 1.03-11.22; P = 0.045), and a history of diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA; OR 8.71; CI 2.31-32.83; P < 0.001). Baseline glutamic acid decarboxylase (GAD) antibody, family history of diabetes, body mass index, insulin dosage, and C-peptide and HbA1c levels were not associated with poor RBF outcome. Intensive glycemic control after T1D diagnosis may improve RBF within a mean (+/-SD) follow-up of 35.1 +/- 13.8 months. The calibration plot for the probability of 2-, 3-, and 4-year RBF showed optimal agreement between nomogram-predicted and actual observed probabilities. CONCLUSIONS: Younger age of onset, female sex, higher HLA risk status, and a history of DKA were the main factors predicting long-term poor preserved beta-cell function. Glycemic control could improve RBF during the course of diabetes. The nomogram provides an individualized risk estimate of RBF in patients with newly diagnosed T1D within Chinese Han populations. CI - (c) 2019 Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine and John Wiley & Sons Australia, Ltd. FAU - Miao, Haitao AU - Miao H AD - Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Zhang, Juanjuan AU - Zhang J AD - Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Gu, Bin AU - Gu B AD - Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Gao, Aibo AU - Gao A AD - Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Hong, Jie AU - Hong J AD - Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Zhang, Yifei AU - Zhang Y AD - Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China. FAU - Gu, Weiqiong AU - Gu W AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-3296-3384 AD - Department of Endocrinology and Metabolic Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao-Tong University, Shanghai, China. LA - eng GR - 81370934/Chinese National Natural Science Foundation/ GR - 2016YFC1305202/National Key R&D Program of China/ GR - 20161403/Shanghai Municipal Education Commission-Gaofeng Clinical Medicine Grant Support/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20190422 PL - Australia TA - J Diabetes JT - Journal of diabetes JID - 101504326 RN - 0 (Biomarkers) RN - 0 (Insulin) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Biomarkers/*metabolism MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 1/diagnosis/*physiopathology MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Humans MH - Insulin/*metabolism MH - Insulin-Secreting Cells/metabolism/*pathology MH - Male MH - *Nomograms MH - Prognosis MH - Young Adult OTO - NOTNLM OT - 1型糖尿病 OT - HLA class II OT - HLA-II类基因 OT - Nomogram预测模型 OT - prognostic nomogram OT - residual islet beta-cell function OT - type 1 diabetes OT - 残余胰岛beta细胞功能 EDAT- 2019/03/09 06:00 MHDA- 2020/03/13 06:00 CRDT- 2019/03/09 06:00 PHST- 2018/09/20 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/02/27 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2019/03/05 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/03/09 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/03/13 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/03/09 06:00 [entrez] AID - 10.1111/1753-0407.12912 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Diabetes. 2019 Oct;11(10):818-825. doi: 10.1111/1753-0407.12912. Epub 2019 Apr 22.