PMID- 31078544 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20201124 LR - 20201124 IS - 1600-0641 (Electronic) IS - 0168-8278 (Linking) VI - 71 IP - 2 DP - 2019 Aug TI - Declining hepatitis C virus-related liver disease burden in the direct-acting antiviral therapy era in New South Wales, Australia. PG - 281-288 LID - S0168-8278(19)30275-2 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.jhep.2019.04.014 [doi] AB - BACKGROUND & AIMS: Population-level evidence for the impact of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy on hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related disease burden is lacking. We aimed to evaluate trends in HCV-related decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) hospitalisation, and liver-related and all-cause mortality in the pre-DAA (2001-2014) and DAA therapy (2015-2017) eras in New South Wales, Australia. METHODS: HCV notifications (1993-2016) were linked to hospital admissions (2001-2017) and mortality (1995-2017). Segmented Poisson regressions and Poisson regression were used to assess the impact of DAA era and factors associated with liver-related mortality, respectively. RESULTS: Among 99,910 people with an HCV notification, 3.8% had a decompensated cirrhosis diagnosis and 1.8% had an HCC diagnosis, while 3.3% and 10.5% died of liver-related and all-cause mortality, respectively. In the pre-DAA era, the number of decompensated cirrhosis and HCC diagnoses, and liver-related and all-cause mortality consistently increased (incidence rate ratios 1.04 [95% CI 1.04-1.05], 1.08 [95% CI 1.07-1.08], 1.07 [95% CI 1.06-1.07], and 1.05 [95% CI 1.04-1.05], respectively) over each 6-monthly band. In the DAA era, decompensated cirrhosis diagnosis and liver-related mortality numbers declined (incidence rate ratios 0.97 [95% CI 0.95-0.99] and 0.96 [95% CI 0.94-0.98], respectively), and HCC diagnosis and all-cause mortality numbers plateaued (incidence rate ratio 1.00 [95% CI 0.97-1.03] and 1.01 [95% CI 1.00-1.02], respectively) over each 6-monthly band. In the DAA era, alcohol-use disorder (AUD) was common in patients diagnosed with decompensated cirrhosis and HCC (65% and 46% had a history of AUD, respectively). AUD was independently associated with liver-related mortality (incidence rate ratio 3.35; 95% CI 3.14-3.58). CONCLUSIONS: In the DAA era, there has been a sharp decline in liver disease morbidity and mortality in New South Wales, Australia. AUD remains a major contributor to HCV-related liver disease burden, highlighting the need to address comorbidities. LAY SUMMARY: Rising hepatitis C-related morbidity and mortality is a major public health issue. However, development of highly effective medicines against hepatitis C (called direct-acting antivirals or DAAs) means hepatitis C could be eliminated as a public health threat by 2030. This study shows a sharp decline in liver disease morbidity and mortality since the introduction of DAAs in New South Wales, Australia. Despite this, heavy alcohol use remains an important risk factor for liver disease among people with hepatitis C. To ensure that the benefits of new antiviral treatments are not compromised, management of major comorbidities, including heavy alcohol use must improve among people with hepatitis C. CI - Copyright (c) 2019 European Association for the Study of the Liver. All rights reserved. FAU - Alavi, Maryam AU - Alavi M AD - The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia. Electronic address: msalehialavi@kirby.unsw.edu.au. FAU - Law, Matthew G AU - Law MG AD - The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia. FAU - Valerio, Heather AU - Valerio H AD - The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia. FAU - Grebely, Jason AU - Grebely J AD - The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia. FAU - Amin, Janaki AU - Amin J AD - Department of Health Systems and Populations, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia. FAU - Hajarizadeh, Behzad AU - Hajarizadeh B AD - The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia. FAU - Selvey, Christine AU - Selvey C AD - Communicable Diseases Branch, Health Protection NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia. FAU - George, Jacob AU - George J AD - Storr Liver Centre, Westmead Millennium Institute, University of Sydney and Westmead Hospital, Westmead, NSW, Australia. FAU - Dore, Gregory J AU - Dore GJ AD - The Kirby Institute, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia. LA - eng PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20190510 PL - Netherlands TA - J Hepatol JT - Journal of hepatology JID - 8503886 RN - 0 (Antiviral Agents) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Alcoholism/complications MH - Antiviral Agents/*therapeutic use MH - Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/epidemiology/*etiology/mortality MH - Female MH - Follow-Up Studies MH - Hepacivirus/*immunology MH - Hepatitis C, Chronic/*complications/*drug therapy/epidemiology/mortality MH - Hospitalization/trends MH - Humans MH - Incidence MH - Liver Cirrhosis/epidemiology/*etiology/mortality MH - Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology/*etiology/mortality MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - New South Wales/epidemiology MH - Risk Factors OTO - NOTNLM OT - Decompensated cirrhosis OT - Direct-acting antivirals OT - Hepatitis C OT - Hepatocellular carcinoma OT - Mortality EDAT- 2019/05/13 06:00 MHDA- 2020/11/25 06:00 CRDT- 2019/05/13 06:00 PHST- 2018/10/02 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/03/27 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2019/04/01 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/05/13 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/11/25 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/05/13 06:00 [entrez] AID - S0168-8278(19)30275-2 [pii] AID - 10.1016/j.jhep.2019.04.014 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - J Hepatol. 2019 Aug;71(2):281-288. doi: 10.1016/j.jhep.2019.04.014. Epub 2019 May 10.