PMID- 31095610 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200211 LR - 20200309 IS - 1932-6203 (Electronic) IS - 1932-6203 (Linking) VI - 14 IP - 5 DP - 2019 TI - Prognostic factors and nomogram for cancer-specific death in non small cell lung cancer with malignant pericardial effusion. PG - e0217007 LID - 10.1371/journal.pone.0217007 [doi] LID - e0217007 AB - BACKGROUND: The prognosis of lung cancer with malignant pericardial effusion is very terrible owing to the impact of cardiac tamponade. The aim of our study seeks to identify prognostic factors and establish a prognostic nomogram of non small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with malignant pericardial effusion. METHODS: NSCLC patients with malignant pericardial effusion between 2010 and 2014 are searched from SEER database.Cancer-specific death of these patients are analyzed through the Kaplan-Meier method, Cox proportional hazard model and competing risk model. Prognostic nomogram of cancer-specific death is performed and validated with concordance index (C-index), calibration plots and internal validation population. Propensity score matching is used to evaluate whether chemotherapy affected the survival of study population. RESULTS: 696 eligible NSCLC patients are involved in the study population, with 22.7% of 1-year survival rate and 8.9% of 2-year survival rate. Laterality, AJCC N, AJCC T, and chemotherapy are regarded as independent prognostic factors of cancer-specific death in the Cox proportional hazards model and competing risk model. The C-index of established nomogram is 0.703(95%CI:0.68-0.73) for cancer-specific death in the study population with acceptable calibration, which is significantly higher than classical TNM stage(C-index = 0.56, 95%CI:0.52-0.60). After 1:1 propensity score matching, chemotherapy potentially reduces the risk of cancer-specific death (HR = 0.42 95%CI: 0.31-0.58) of NSCLC with pericardial effusion. CONCLUSIONS: NSCLC with malignant pericardial effusion harbors low overall survival. One prognostic nomogram based on laterality, AJCC N, AJCC T and chemotherapy is developed for cancer-specific death to predict 1-year and 2-year survival rate with good performance. FAU - Hu, Zhi Gang AU - Hu ZG AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-3421-0674 AD - Department of Respiratory Medicine, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei Province, People's Republic of China. AD - Department of Respiratory medicine, Respiratory Disease Research Institute of China, Three Gorges University, Yichang, Hubei Province, People's Republic of China. FAU - Hu, Ke AU - Hu K AD - Department of Respiratory Medicine, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei Province, People's Republic of China. FAU - Li, Wen Xin AU - Li WX AD - Department of Respiratory medicine, Respiratory Disease Research Institute of China, Three Gorges University, Yichang, Hubei Province, People's Republic of China. FAU - Zeng, Fan Jun AU - Zeng FJ AD - Department of Respiratory medicine, Respiratory Disease Research Institute of China, Three Gorges University, Yichang, Hubei Province, People's Republic of China. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20190516 PL - United States TA - PLoS One JT - PloS one JID - 101285081 SB - IM MH - Aged MH - Calibration MH - Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung/*diagnosis/*mortality/physiopathology MH - Cardiac Tamponade/complications/diagnosis MH - Cause of Death MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Kaplan-Meier Estimate MH - Lung Neoplasms/*diagnosis/*mortality/physiopathology MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - *Nomograms MH - Pericardial Effusion/*diagnosis/*mortality/physiopathology MH - Prognosis MH - Propensity Score MH - Proportional Hazards Models MH - SEER Program MH - Survival Rate MH - Treatment Outcome MH - United States PMC - PMC6521987 COIS- The authors have declared that no competing interests exist. EDAT- 2019/05/17 06:00 MHDA- 2020/02/12 06:00 PMCR- 2019/05/16 CRDT- 2019/05/17 06:00 PHST- 2018/10/29 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/05/02 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/05/17 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/05/17 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/02/12 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/05/16 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - PONE-D-18-31204 [pii] AID - 10.1371/journal.pone.0217007 [doi] PST - epublish SO - PLoS One. 2019 May 16;14(5):e0217007. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0217007. eCollection 2019.