PMID- 31196038 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20190822 LR - 20200225 IS - 1471-2458 (Electronic) IS - 1471-2458 (Linking) VI - 19 IP - 1 DP - 2019 Jun 13 TI - Waist circumference trajectories and risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in Korean population: the Korean genome and epidemiology study (KoGES). PG - 741 LID - 10.1186/s12889-019-7077-6 [doi] LID - 741 AB - BACKGROUND: To classify waist circumference (WC) trajectories and examine each trajectory's association with risk of incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS: In Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study (KoGES 2001-2014), 4992 participants aged 40 years and above who received biennial health examinations from wave 1 to wave 4 (2001-2008) were selected. Five distinct trajectory groups were identified for WC using group-based trajectory modeling methods such as censored normal model. Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association of trajectories with risk of T2DM. RESULTS: During 31,118 person-years of follow-up (mean follow-up duration, 6.2 years), 276 incident cases of T2DM were identified. Through trajectory analysis, 5 distinct WC patterns were found during wave1 to wave 4, which were "Group A" was stable on very low levels, "Group B" was stable on low levels, "Group C" was stable on moderate levels, "Group D" had increasing pattern on elevated levels, "Group E" was shown increasing on high levels. Age-standardized incidences rates per 100,000 person-years were increased with WC expanding trajectory group (193.9 for Group A, 498.4 for Group B, 661.9 for Group C, 1845.9 for Group D, and 2045.0 for Group E). In multivariate analysis after adjusting for confounding variable at wave 4, Group B (Hazard ratio (HR), 2.2; 95% confidence interval (CI), and 1.1-4.6), Group C (HR: 2.5, 95% CI: 1.2-5.0), Group D (HR: 5.4, 95% CI: 2.7-10.9), Group E (HR: 7.3, 95% CI: 3.5-15.4) had a higher risk of T2DM than Group A. After further adjusting for body mass index strongly correlated with WC, the association was attenuated. CONCLUSIONS: WC trajectory was a significant predictor of T2DM risk in increasing trajectories on high level. This finding indicate the importance of WC management across prolong lifespan by assessing the prognosis and prevention strategies of high-risk populations for T2DM in middle-aged adults. FAU - Jeon, Jooeun AU - Jeon J AD - Department of Public Health, Graduate School, Yonsei University, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea. AD - Department of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, Institute for Health Promotion, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea. FAU - Jung, Keum Ji AU - Jung KJ AUID- ORCID: 0000-0003-4993-0666 AD - Department of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, Institute for Health Promotion, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea. KJJUNG@yuhs.ac. FAU - Jee, Sun Ha AU - Jee SH AD - Department of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, Institute for Health Promotion, Graduate School of Public Health, Yonsei University, 50 Yonsei-ro, Seodaemun-gu, Seoul, 03722, Republic of Korea. LA - eng GR - NRF- 2016R1A6A3A11933465/Ministry of Education/ GR - HI14C2686/Ministry of Health and Welfare/ PT - Journal Article DEP - 20190613 PL - England TA - BMC Public Health JT - BMC public health JID - 100968562 MH - Adult MH - Cohort Studies MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/*epidemiology MH - Female MH - Humans MH - Incidence MH - Male MH - Middle Aged MH - Republic of Korea/epidemiology MH - Risk Factors MH - *Waist Circumference PMC - PMC6567400 OTO - NOTNLM OT - Longitudinal study OT - Trajectory OT - Type 2 diabetes mellitus OT - Waist circumference COIS- The authors declare that they have no competing interests. EDAT- 2019/06/15 06:00 MHDA- 2019/08/23 06:00 PMCR- 2019/06/13 CRDT- 2019/06/15 06:00 PHST- 2018/11/12 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/05/30 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/06/15 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/06/15 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/08/23 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/06/13 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - 10.1186/s12889-019-7077-6 [pii] AID - 7077 [pii] AID - 10.1186/s12889-019-7077-6 [doi] PST - epublish SO - BMC Public Health. 2019 Jun 13;19(1):741. doi: 10.1186/s12889-019-7077-6.