PMID- 31274541 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200930 LR - 20210110 IS - 1473-5571 (Electronic) IS - 0269-9370 (Print) IS - 0269-9370 (Linking) VI - 33 IP - 13 DP - 2019 Nov 1 TI - Inflammatory biomarkers prior to antiretroviral therapy as prognostic markers of 12-month mortality in South Africa and Uganda. PG - 2043-2048 LID - 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002305 [doi] AB - OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the utility of biomarkers of immune activation, systemic inflammation and coagulopathy prior to antiretroviral therapy to predict mortality during the first year of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in sub-Saharan Africa. DESIGN: A prospective, observational cohort. METHODS: We measured soluble CD14, interleukin-6 and D-dimer in nonpregnant individuals initiating ART in South Africa and Uganda in the Measuring Early Treatment Adherence (META) Study. We used survival analysis methods to estimate their association with 12-month mortality, and fit receiver operator curves (ROC) to assess the prognostic value of each biomarker. RESULTS: Six-hundred and sixty individuals were enrolled and had pretreatment biomarkers measured. Approximately 60% were women, with a median CD4 cell count of 187 cells/mul [interquartile range (IQR) 111-425] and approximately half were enrolled each from South Africa and Uganda. We observed 34 deaths for a crude mortality of 5.3 deaths/100 person-years (py) (95% confidence interval 3.8-7.4), which ranged from 0/100 py to 13.7/100 py in the lowest and highest tertile of pretreatment sCD14, respectively. In Cox models, all three biomarkers were strongly predictive of the hazard of death (adjusted hazard ratio 3-6, all P < 0.01). In multivariable models including biomarkers, both pretreatment CD4 cell count and pretreatment viral load became borderline or nonsignificantly associated with mortality. The c-statistic for area under ROC was higher for all three biomarkers than for CD4 cell count (P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Biomarkers of immune activation, systemic inflammation and coagulopathy prior to ART initiation are strongly predictive of early death on treatment after adjustment for CD4 cell count. Such biomarkers might serve as important prognostic indicators for patient triage in this population. FAU - Siedner, Mark J AU - Siedner MJ AD - aHarvard Medical School bMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA cMbarara University of Science and Technology, Mbarara, Uganda dAfrica Health Research Institute, Kwa-Zulu Natal, South Africa eUniversity of Colorado, Denver, Colorado fUniversity of Vermont, Burlington, Vermont gOregon Health Sciences University-Portland State University School of Public Health, Portland, Oregon, USA hUniversity of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa. FAU - Bwana, Mwebesa Bosco AU - Bwana MB FAU - Asiimwe, Stephen AU - Asiimwe S FAU - Musinguzi, Nicholas AU - Musinguzi N FAU - Castillo-Mancilla, Jose AU - Castillo-Mancilla J FAU - Amanyire, Gideon AU - Amanyire G FAU - Tracy, Russell P AU - Tracy RP FAU - Bangsberg, David R AU - Bangsberg DR FAU - Orrell, Catherine AU - Orrell C FAU - Haberer, Jessica E AU - Haberer JE CN - META Study Investigators LA - eng GR - K23 MH099916/MH/NIMH NIH HHS/United States GR - P20 GM125498/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States GR - R01 HL141053/HL/NHLBI NIH HHS/United States GR - P30 AI060354/AI/NIAID NIH HHS/United States PT - Journal Article PT - Observational Study PT - Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't PL - England TA - AIDS JT - AIDS (London, England) JID - 8710219 RN - 0 (Anti-HIV Agents) RN - 0 (Biomarkers) RN - 0 (Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products) RN - 0 (IL6 protein, human) RN - 0 (Interleukin-6) RN - 0 (Lipopolysaccharide Receptors) RN - 0 (fibrin fragment D) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Anti-HIV Agents/*therapeutic use MH - Biomarkers/*blood MH - Female MH - Fibrin Fibrinogen Degradation Products/analysis MH - HIV Infections/blood/*drug therapy/*mortality MH - Humans MH - Interleukin-6/blood MH - Lipopolysaccharide Receptors/blood MH - Male MH - Prognosis MH - Prospective Studies MH - ROC Curve MH - South Africa/epidemiology MH - Survival Analysis MH - Time Factors MH - Uganda/epidemiology MH - Viral Load PMC - PMC6774817 MID - NIHMS1534354 EDAT- 2019/07/06 06:00 MHDA- 2020/10/02 06:00 PMCR- 2019/10/14 CRDT- 2019/07/06 06:00 PHST- 2019/07/06 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/10/02 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/07/06 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/10/14 00:00 [pmc-release] AID - AIDS-D-19-00332 [pii] AID - 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002305 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - AIDS. 2019 Nov 1;33(13):2043-2048. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0000000000002305.