PMID- 31340938 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20200908 LR - 20210816 IS - 1557-3265 (Electronic) IS - 1078-0432 (Linking) VI - 25 IP - 21 DP - 2019 Nov 1 TI - Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Breast Cancer by Gene Expression and Clinicopathological Models: Development and Validation within a Population-Based Cohort. PG - 6368-6381 LID - 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-19-0075 [doi] AB - PURPOSE: More than 70% of patients with breast cancer present with node-negative disease, yet all undergo surgical axillary staging. We aimed to define predictors of nodal metastasis using clinicopathological characteristics (CLINICAL), gene expression data (GEX), and mixed features (MIXED) and to identify patients at low risk of metastasis who might be spared sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB).Experimental Design: Breast tumors (n = 3,023) from the population-based Sweden Cancerome Analysis Network-Breast initiative were profiled by RNA sequencing and linked to clinicopathologic characteristics. Seven machine-learning models present the discriminative ability of N0/N+ in development (n = 2,278) and independent validation cohorts (n = 745) stratified as ER(+)HER2(-), HER2(+), and TNBC. Possible SLNB reduction rates are proposed by applying CLINICAL and MIXED predictors. RESULTS: In the validation cohort, the MIXED predictor showed the highest area under ROC curves to assess nodal metastasis; AUC = 0.72. For the subgroups, the AUCs for MIXED, CLINICAL, and GEX predictors ranged from 0.66 to 0.72, 0.65 to 0.73, and 0.58 to 0.67, respectively. Enriched proliferation metagene and luminal B features were noticed in node-positive ER(+)HER2(-) and HER2(+) tumors, while upregulated basal-like features were observed in node-negative TNBC tumors. The SLNB reduction rates in patients with ER(+)HER2(-) tumors were 6% to 7% higher for the MIXED predictor compared with the CLINICAL predictor accepting false negative rates of 5% to 10%. CONCLUSIONS: Although CLINICAL and MIXED predictors of nodal metastasis had comparable accuracy, the MIXED predictor identified more node-negative patients. This translational approach holds promise for development of classifiers to reduce the rates of SLNB for patients at low risk of nodal involvement. CI - (c)2019 American Association for Cancer Research. FAU - Dihge, Looket AU - Dihge L AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Surgery, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. looket.dihge@med.lu.se. AD - Department of Plastic and Reconstructive Surgery, Skane University Hospital, Malmo, Sweden. FAU - Vallon-Christersson, Johan AU - Vallon-Christersson J AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-2195-0385 AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Hegardt, Cecilia AU - Hegardt C AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Saal, Lao H AU - Saal LH AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-0815-1896 AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Hakkinen, Jari AU - Hakkinen J AUID- ORCID: 0000-0002-8466-9179 AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Larsson, Christer AU - Larsson C AD - Department of Laboratory Medicine, Division of Translational Cancer Research, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Ehinger, Anna AU - Ehinger A AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-9225-7396 AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Loman, Niklas AU - Loman N AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. AD - Department of Oncology, Skane University Hospital, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Malmberg, Martin AU - Malmberg M AD - Department of Oncology, Skane University Hospital, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Bendahl, Par-Ola AU - Bendahl PO AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Borg, Ake AU - Borg A AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Staaf, Johan AU - Staaf J AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-5254-5115 AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Oncology and Pathology, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. FAU - Ryden, Lisa AU - Ryden L AUID- ORCID: 0000-0001-7515-3130 AD - Department of Clinical Sciences Lund, Division of Surgery, Lund University, Lund, Sweden. AD - Department of Surgery, Skane University Hospital, Lund, Sweden. LA - eng PT - Clinical Trial PT - Journal Article PT - Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't DEP - 20190724 PL - United States TA - Clin Cancer Res JT - Clinical cancer research : an official journal of the American Association for Cancer Research JID - 9502500 RN - 0 (Biomarkers, Tumor) RN - 0 (ESR1 protein, human) RN - 0 (Estrogen Receptor alpha) RN - 0 (Neoplasm Proteins) RN - EC 2.7.10.1 (ERBB2 protein, human) RN - EC 2.7.10.1 (Receptor, ErbB-2) SB - IM MH - Adult MH - Aged MH - Biomarkers, Tumor/genetics MH - Breast Neoplasms/classification/*diagnosis/genetics/pathology MH - Disease-Free Survival MH - Estrogen Receptor alpha/genetics MH - Female MH - Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic/genetics MH - Humans MH - Lymph Node Excision/methods MH - Lymphatic Metastasis/*diagnosis/genetics/pathology MH - Machine Learning MH - Middle Aged MH - Neoplasm Proteins/*genetics MH - Receptor, ErbB-2/genetics MH - Sentinel Lymph Node/metabolism/pathology MH - Sentinel Lymph Node Biopsy MH - Sequence Analysis, RNA MH - Sweden/epidemiology MH - Triple Negative Breast Neoplasms/classification/*diagnosis/genetics/pathology EDAT- 2019/07/26 06:00 MHDA- 2020/09/09 06:00 CRDT- 2019/07/26 06:00 PHST- 2019/01/10 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/05/24 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2019/07/22 00:00 [accepted] PHST- 2019/07/26 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2020/09/09 06:00 [medline] PHST- 2019/07/26 06:00 [entrez] AID - 1078-0432.CCR-19-0075 [pii] AID - 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-19-0075 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Clin Cancer Res. 2019 Nov 1;25(21):6368-6381. doi: 10.1158/1078-0432.CCR-19-0075. Epub 2019 Jul 24.