PMID- 31346994 OWN - NLM STAT- MEDLINE DCOM- 20191226 LR - 20210110 IS - 2523-899X (Electronic) IS - 2523-899X (Linking) VI - 39 IP - 4 DP - 2019 Aug TI - Machine Learning Models in Type 2 Diabetes Risk Prediction: Results from a Cross-sectional Retrospective Study in Chinese Adults. PG - 582-588 LID - 10.1007/s11596-019-2077-4 [doi] AB - Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has become a prevalent health problem in China, especially in urban areas. Early prevention strategies are needed to reduce the associated mortality and morbidity. We applied the combination of rules and different machine learning techniques to assess the risk of development of T2DM in an urban Chinese adult population. A retrospective analysis was performed on 8000 people with non-diabetes and 3845 people with T2DM in Nanjing. Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), AdaBoost (AD), Trees Random Forest (TRF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Gradient Tree Boosting (GTB) machine learning techniques with 10 cross validation methods were used with the proposed model for the prediction of the risk of development of T2DM. The performance of these models was evaluated with accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, and area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). After comparison, the prediction accuracy of the different five machine models was 0.87, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86 and 0.86 respectively. The combination model using the same voting weight of each component was built on T2DM, which was performed better than individual models. The findings indicate that, combining machine learning models could provide an accurate assessment model for T2DM risk prediction. FAU - Xiong, Xiao-Lu AU - Xiong XL AD - Department of Endocrinology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210008, China. FAU - Zhang, Rong-Xin AU - Zhang RX AD - School of Biomedical Engineering and Informatics, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211166, China. FAU - Bi, Yan AU - Bi Y AD - Department of Endocrinology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210008, China. FAU - Zhou, Wei-Hong AU - Zhou WH AD - Department of Endocrinology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210008, China. njzhouweihong@126.com. FAU - Yu, Yun AU - Yu Y AD - School of Biomedical Engineering and Informatics, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 211166, China. yuyun@njmu.edu.cn. FAU - Zhu, Da-Long AU - Zhu DL AD - Department of Endocrinology, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, 210008, China. zhudalong@nju.edu.cn. LA - eng PT - Journal Article DEP - 20190725 PL - China TA - Curr Med Sci JT - Current medical science JID - 101729993 SB - IM MH - Adult MH - China/epidemiology MH - Cross-Sectional Studies MH - Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2/diagnosis/*epidemiology/pathology MH - Female MH - Humans MH - *Machine Learning MH - Male MH - Retrospective Studies MH - *Risk Assessment OTO - NOTNLM OT - machine learning OT - risk prediction OT - type 2 diabetes EDAT- 2019/07/28 06:00 MHDA- 2019/12/27 06:00 CRDT- 2019/07/27 06:00 PHST- 2018/07/17 00:00 [received] PHST- 2019/06/10 00:00 [revised] PHST- 2019/07/27 06:00 [entrez] PHST- 2019/07/28 06:00 [pubmed] PHST- 2019/12/27 06:00 [medline] AID - 10.1007/s11596-019-2077-4 [pii] AID - 10.1007/s11596-019-2077-4 [doi] PST - ppublish SO - Curr Med Sci. 2019 Aug;39(4):582-588. doi: 10.1007/s11596-019-2077-4. Epub 2019 Jul 25.